Wed, Mar 11 2026 • 17:45 • BayArena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.27 (league 1.80) 4.08 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.6% 3.1% 73.5%
best score tips
0 - 4
15.0%
0 - 3
14.7%
0 - 5
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Arsenal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayer Leverkusen 0 1.3% 5.3% 10.8% 14.7% 15.0% 12.2%
1 0.3% 1.4% 2.9% 3.9% 4.0% 3.2%
2 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBayer LeverkusenArsenal
Played55
Form53%100%
Attack35%75%
Defense80%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.415 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bayer Leverkusen Arsenal
HATHAT
Played5510448
Wins20%60%40%100%100%100%
Draws60%20%40%0%0%0%
Loses20%20%20%0%0%0%

Form: Bayer Leverkusen: DDLWWDLWWD • Arsenal: WWWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Bayer Leverkusen Arsenal
HATHAT
GF total8715121123
GF avg1.61.41.53.02.82.9
GA total10414314
GA avg2.00.81.40.80.30.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBayer LeverkusenArsenal
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%50%100%38%
1.560%40%100%13%
2.510%10%75%0%
3.50%10%13%0%
4.50%10%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBayer LeverkusenArsenal
HATHAT
Clean sheets235235
Failed to score112000

Penalties

MetricBayer LeverkusenArsenal
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricBayer LeverkusenArsenal
Wins28
Draws20
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-24-00-3
Biggest losses2-72-0
Goals For3243
Goals Against7221

Model comparison

MetricBayer LeverkusenArsenal
Form35%65%
Att32%68%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution5%95%
H2h0%100%
Goals20%80%
Total28.4%71.6%

Advice: Winner : Arsenal

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.00 @ Unibet
Draw4.50 @ Bet365
Away1.59 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.17 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No1.98 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bayer Leverkusen = 0.27 (league 1.80), Arsenal = 4.08 (league 1.37)

Arsenal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayer Leverkusen 0 1.3% 5.3% 10.8% 14.7% 15.0% 12.2%
1 0.3% 1.4% 2.9% 3.9% 4.0% 3.2%
2 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.6% · Draw 3.1% · Away win 73.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1