Wed, Mar 11 2026 • 17:45 •
BayArena
Expected Goals
0.26 (league 1.83)
4.09 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6% | 3.1% | 73.3% |
best score tips
0 - 4
15.0%
0 - 3
14.7%
0 - 5
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Arsenal | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | 0 | 1.3% | 5.3% | 10.8% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 12.2% |
| 1 | 0.3% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bayer Leverkusen | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 100% |
| Attack | 35% | 75% |
| Defense | 80% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 15 | 3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
93%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bayer Leverkusen | Arsenal | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 20% | 60% | 40% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Draws | 60% | 20% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 20% | 20% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Bayer Leverkusen: DDLWWDLWWD • Arsenal: WWWWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Bayer Leverkusen | Arsenal | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 7 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 2.9 |
| GA total | 10 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bayer Leverkusen | Arsenal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 50% | 100% | 38% |
| 1.5 | 60% | 40% | 100% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 10% | 75% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 10% | 13% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 10% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bayer Leverkusen | Arsenal | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bayer Leverkusen | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bayer Leverkusen | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 8 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 4-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-7 | 2-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bayer Leverkusen | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 35% | 65% |
| Att | 32% | 68% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 5% | 95% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 20% | 80% |
| Total | 28.4% | 71.6% |
Advice: Winner : Arsenal
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home7.00 @ Unibet
Draw4.50 @ Bet365
Away1.59 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.88 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.17 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No1.98 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Bayer Leverkusen = 0.26 (league 1.82), Arsenal = 4.08 (league 1.37)
| Arsenal | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | 0 | 1.3% | 5.3% | 10.8% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 12.2% |
| 1 | 0.3% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.6% · Draw 3.1% · Away win 73.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1
