Genk vs SC Freiburg

UEFA Europa League — World

Thu, Mar 12 2026 • 20:00 • Cegeka Arena

Match Finished

Genk

1 - 0

SC Freiburg

Expected Goals

0.66 (league 1.57) 1.08 (league 1.21)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
22.4%	32.5%	45.0%

best score tips

0 - 1

18.9%

0 - 0

17.6%

1 - 1

12.5%

Score & goals probability table

		SC Freiburg
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Genk	0	17.6%	18.9%	10.2%	3.6%	1.0%	0.2%
	1	11.6%	12.5%	6.7%	2.4%	0.7%	0.1%
	2	3.9%	4.2%	2.2%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%
	3	0.9%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Genk	SC Freiburg
Played	5	5
Form	67%	67%
Attack	83%	42%
Defense	50%	83%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	10 \| 2	5 \| 1
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	6 \| 1.2	2 \| 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%

FT probability

2.5+

47%

FT probability

3.5+

33%

FT probability

BTTS

64%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

1-3

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Genk			SC Freiburg
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	6	6	12	4	4	8
Wins	33%	83%	58%	100%	25%	63%
Draws	33%	0%	17%	0%	50%	25%
Loses	33%	17%	25%	0%	25%	13%

Form: Genk: WLWLDWWLWWWD • SC Freiburg: WDWWDWWL

League goals

Metric	Genk			SC Freiburg
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	8	15	23	6	4	10
GF avg	1.3	2.5	1.9	1.5	1.0	1.3
GA total	8	6	14	1	3	4
GA avg	1.3	1.0	1.2	0.3	0.8	0.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Genk		SC Freiburg
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	75%	75%	75%	50%
1.5	58%	25%	38%	0%
2.5	33%	17%	13%	0%
3.5	17%	0%	0%	0%
4.5	8%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Genk			SC Freiburg
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	1	2	3	3	1	4
Failed to score	2	1	3	0	2	2

Penalties

Metric	Genk	SC Freiburg
Scored (total \| %)	2 \| 100.00%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	2	2

Streaks

Metric	Genk	SC Freiburg
Wins	3	2
Draws	1	1
Losses	1	0

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	2-1	1-5	2-0	1-3
Biggest losses	1-2	1-0	—	1-0
Goals For	3	5	2	3
Goals Against	3	3	1	1

Model comparison

Metric	Genk	SC Freiburg
Form	50%	50%
Att	67%	33%
Def	25%	75%
Poisson Distribution	38%	62%
H2h	0%	0%
Goals	0%	0%
Total	45.0%	55.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or SC Freiburg

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.75 @ Betano

Draw3.40 @ 188Bet

Away2.91 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ 1xBet

Under 2.51.91 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Pinnacle

No2.13 @ 188Bet

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Genk vs SC Freiburg

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Genk

SC Freiburg

UEFA Europa League • World • Thu, Mar 12 2026 • 20:00 • Cegeka Arena

Expected goals

0.66

Genk xG League Avg: 1.57

Total

1.74

1.08

SC Freiburg xG League Avg: 1.21

1x2 probabilities

Home

22.4%

Draw

32.5%

Away

45.0%

Best score tips

Tip

0 - 1

18.9%

Tip

0 - 0

17.6%

Tip

1 - 1

12.5%

More chances

1.5+

66%

Chance

2.5+

47%

Chance

3.5+

33%

Chance

BTTS

64%

Chance

🟨 Cards

1 - 3

Exp.

#Genk #ScFreiburg #UefaEuropaLeague #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Genk = 0.66 (league 1.57), SC Freiburg = 1.08 (league 1.21)

		SC Freiburg
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Genk	0	17.6%	18.9%	10.2%	3.6%	1.0%	0.2%
	1	11.6%	12.5%	6.7%	2.4%	0.7%	0.1%
	2	3.9%	4.2%	2.2%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%
	3	0.9%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.4% · Draw 32.5% · Away win 45.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Genk	SC Freiburg
Scored (total \| %)	2 \| 100.00%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	2	2