Iraqi League
— Iraq
Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 20:15 •
Franso Hariri Stadium
Expected Goals
1.16 (league 1.21)
0.58 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.9% | 31.5% | 18.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
20.3%
0 - 0
17.5%
1 - 1
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Al Minaa Basra | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Erbil | 0 | 17.5% | 10.2% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.3% | 11.8% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.8% | 6.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Erbil | Al Minaa Basra |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 47% |
| Attack | 100% | 44% |
| Defense | 44% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Erbil | Al Minaa Basra | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| Wins | 70% | 50% | 60% | 30% | 27% | 29% |
| Draws | 10% | 40% | 25% | 30% | 27% | 29% |
| Loses | 20% | 10% | 15% | 40% | 45% | 43% |
Form: Erbil: WWDWWWWDWDWWLLDDWLWW • Al Minaa Basra: WLLWDWLLDLLLWDDDDLLWW
League goals
| Metric | Erbil | Al Minaa Basra | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 14 | 28 | 12 | 8 | 20 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 9 | 7 | 16 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Erbil | Al Minaa Basra | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 65% | 57% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 15% | 24% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 0% | 10% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Erbil | Al Minaa Basra | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Erbil | Al Minaa Basra |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Erbil | Al Minaa Basra |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-3 | 4-2 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 1-0 | 1-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Erbil | Al Minaa Basra |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 69% | 31% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 53.7% | 46.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Erbil or draw and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.92 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.05 @ Pinnacle
Away4.30 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.10 @ William Hill
No1.63 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.38 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Erbil
vs
Al Minaa Basra
Expected goals
1.16
Erbil xG
League Avg: 1.21
Total
1.74
0.58
Al Minaa Basra xG
League Avg: 1.09
1x2 probabilities
Home
49.9%
Draw
31.5%
Away
18.5%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
20.3%
Tip
0 - 0
17.5%
Tip
1 - 1
11.8%
More chances
1.5+
59%
Chance
2.5+
42%
Chance
3.5+
30%
Chance
BTTS
61%
Chance
🟨 Cards
0 - 0
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Erbil = 1.16 (league 1.21), Al Minaa Basra = 0.58 (league 1.09)
| Al Minaa Basra | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Erbil | 0 | 17.5% | 10.2% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.3% | 11.8% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.8% | 6.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.9% · Draw 31.5% · Away win 18.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1