Iraqi League — Iraq
Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 20:15 • Franso Hariri Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.19) 0.58 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.3% 31.3% 18.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.3%
0 - 0
17.3%
2 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Al Minaa Basra
0 1 2 3 4 5
Erbil 0 17.3% 10.1% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.3% 11.8% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.9% 6.9% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.7% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricErbilAl Minaa Basra
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack100%44%
Defense44%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Erbil Al Minaa Basra
HATHAT
Played101020101121
Wins70%50%60%30%27%29%
Draws10%40%25%30%27%29%
Loses20%10%15%40%45%43%

Form: Erbil: WWDWWWWDWDWWLLDDWLWW • Al Minaa Basra: WLLWDWLLDLLLWDDDDLLWW

League goals

Metric Erbil Al Minaa Basra
HATHAT
GF total14142812820
GF avg1.41.41.41.20.71.0
GA total9716121123
GA avg0.90.70.81.21.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineErbilAl Minaa Basra
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%65%57%71%
1.545%15%24%33%
2.520%0%10%5%
3.50%0%5%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricErbilAl Minaa Basra
HATHAT
Clean sheets347336
Failed to score325369

Penalties

MetricErbilAl Minaa Basra
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total44

Streaks

MetricErbilAl Minaa Basra
Wins41
Draws24
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-34-21-3
Biggest losses0-21-01-32-0
Goals For3343
Goals Against2232

Model comparison

MetricErbilAl Minaa Basra
Form59%41%
Att69%31%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h40%60%
Goals50%50%
Total53.7%46.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Erbil or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.92 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.05 @ Pinnacle
Away4.30 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ William Hill
No1.63 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Erbil = 1.17 (league 1.19), Al Minaa Basra = 0.58 (league 1.09)

Al Minaa Basra
0 1 2 3 4 5
Erbil 0 17.3% 10.1% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.3% 11.8% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.9% 6.9% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.7% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.3% · Draw 31.3% · Away win 18.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1