Wed, Mar 11 2026 • 11:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
0.67 (league 1.19) 0.72 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.4% 38.5% 32.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
25.0%
0 - 1
17.9%
1 - 0
16.8%
Score & goals probability table
Lioli
0 1 2 3 4 5
LMPS 0 25.0% 17.9% 6.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.8% 12.0% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 5.6% 4.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLMPSLioli
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack29%57%
Defense79%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric LMPS Lioli
HATHAT
Played111122121022
Wins27%18%23%33%70%50%
Draws45%55%50%50%10%32%
Loses27%27%27%17%20%18%

Form: LMPS: LDDWWDDLLDDWDWLDLDDWDL • Lioli: WLWWLDWWDDWWDWLDWDWDLW

League goals

Metric LMPS Lioli
HATHAT
GF total111223171431
GF avg1.01.11.01.41.41.4
GA total712199817
GA avg0.61.10.90.80.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLMPSLioli
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%59%77%50%
1.532%18%36%27%
2.514%9%14%0%
3.50%0%9%0%
4.50%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLMPSLioli
HATHAT
Clean sheets5496511
Failed to score549325

Penalties

MetricLMPSLioli
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLMPSLioli
Wins22
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-25-02-4
Biggest losses1-23-21-22-1
Goals For3354
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricLMPSLioli
Form43%57%
Att33%67%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h38%62%
Goals27%73%
Total42.7%57.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Lioli and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): LMPS = 0.67 (league 1.19), Lioli = 0.72 (league 1.17)

Lioli
0 1 2 3 4 5
LMPS 0 25.0% 17.9% 6.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.8% 12.0% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 5.6% 4.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.4% · Draw 38.5% · Away win 32.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1