Wed, Mar 11 2026 • 11:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
0.66 (league 1.22) 0.72 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.7% 38.6% 32.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
25.2%
0 - 1
18.2%
1 - 0
16.5%
Score & goals probability table
Lioli
0 1 2 3 4 5
LMPS 0 25.2% 18.2% 6.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.5% 11.9% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 5.4% 3.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLMPSLioli
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack29%57%
Defense79%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

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Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric LMPS Lioli
HATHAT
Played111122121022
Wins27%18%23%33%70%50%
Draws45%55%50%50%10%32%
Loses27%27%27%17%20%18%

Form: LMPS: LDDWWDDLLDDWDWLDLDDWDL • Lioli: WLWWLDWWDDWWDWLDWDWDLW

League goals

Metric LMPS Lioli
HATHAT
GF total111223171431
GF avg1.01.11.01.41.41.4
GA total712199817
GA avg0.61.10.90.80.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLMPSLioli
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%59%77%50%
1.532%18%36%27%
2.514%9%14%0%
3.50%0%9%0%
4.50%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLMPSLioli
HATHAT
Clean sheets5496511
Failed to score549325

Penalties

MetricLMPSLioli
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLMPSLioli
Wins22
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-25-02-4
Biggest losses1-23-21-22-1
Goals For3354
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricLMPSLioli
Form43%57%
Att33%67%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h38%62%
Goals27%73%
Total42.7%57.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Lioli and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

LMPS
vs
Lioli
Premier League • Lesotho • Wed, Mar 11 2026 • 11:00 • Venue TBA
Expected goals
0.66
LMPS xG League Avg: 1.22
Total
1.38
0.72
Lioli xG League Avg: 1.16
1x2 probabilities
Home
28.7%
Draw
38.6%
Away
32.7%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
25.2%
Tip
0 - 1
18.2%
Tip
1 - 0
16.5%
More chances
1.5+
56%
Chance
2.5+
40%
Chance
3.5+
28%
Chance
BTTS
56%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
#Lmps #Lioli #PremierLeague #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): LMPS = 0.66 (league 1.22), Lioli = 0.72 (league 1.16)

Lioli
0 1 2 3 4 5
LMPS 0 25.2% 18.2% 6.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.5% 11.9% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 5.4% 3.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.7% · Draw 38.6% · Away win 32.7%

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