Bundesliga
— Austria
Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 15:00 •
Merkur-Arena
Expected Goals
1.73 (league 1.45)
0.62 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 63.5% | 22.8% | 12.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.5%
2 - 0
14.3%
1 - 1
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
| FC BW Linz | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Grazer AK | 0 | 9.5% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.5% | 10.2% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.3% | 8.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.3% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Grazer AK | FC BW Linz |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 27% |
| Attack | 45% | 35% |
| Defense | 75% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Grazer AK | FC BW Linz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 33% | 17% | 25% | 33% | 8% | 21% |
| Draws | 42% | 25% | 33% | 8% | 17% | 13% |
| Loses | 25% | 58% | 42% | 58% | 75% | 67% |
Form: Grazer AK: DLDDLLDDLDLWLWWLLDDLWLWW • FC BW Linz: LLLLDWLWWLLLLLLLDLWLLDLW
League goals
| Metric | Grazer AK | FC BW Linz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 12 | 29 | 17 | 7 | 24 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 16 | 21 | 37 | 20 | 21 | 41 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Grazer AK | FC BW Linz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 88% | 58% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 42% | 29% | 54% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 17% | 13% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 4% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Grazer AK | FC BW Linz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Grazer AK | FC BW Linz |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Grazer AK | FC BW Linz |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 7 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-5 | 3-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 5-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Grazer AK | FC BW Linz |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69% | 31% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 75% | 25% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 41% | 59% |
| Total | 59.7% | 40.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Grazer AK or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.50 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ BetVictor
Away3.29 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.28 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.97 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ Bet365
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Grazer AK = 1.73 (league 1.45), FC BW Linz = 0.62 (league 1.26)
| FC BW Linz | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Grazer AK | 0 | 9.5% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.5% | 10.2% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.3% | 8.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.3% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.5% · Draw 22.8% · Away win 12.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1
