Thu, Apr 16 2026 • 16:45 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.87 (league 1.57)
0.66 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 37.9% | 36.0% | 26.0% |
best score tips
0 - 0
21.7%
1 - 0
18.8%
0 - 1
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
| SC Freiburg | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Celta Vigo | 0 | 21.7% | 14.4% | 4.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.8% | 12.4% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.1% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Celta Vigo | SC Freiburg |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 60% |
| Attack | 40% | 60% |
| Defense | 67% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Celta Vigo | SC Freiburg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 67% | 43% | 54% | 100% | 20% | 64% |
| Draws | 17% | 14% | 15% | 0% | 40% | 18% |
| Loses | 17% | 43% | 31% | 0% | 40% | 18% |
Form: Celta Vigo: LWWWLLWDWWDWL • SC Freiburg: WDWWDWWLLWW
League goals
| Metric | Celta Vigo | SC Freiburg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 11 | 21 | 14 | 4 | 18 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 6 | 10 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Celta Vigo | SC Freiburg | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 92% | 77% | 73% | 55% |
| 1.5 | 54% | 31% | 45% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 15% | 27% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 9% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 9% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Celta Vigo | SC Freiburg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Celta Vigo | SC Freiburg |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Celta Vigo | SC Freiburg |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-3 | 5-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-0 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Celta Vigo | SC Freiburg |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 47.0% | 53.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or SC Freiburg
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.99 @ 188Bet
Draw3.80 @ 188Bet
Away4.12 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.97 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.82 @ 188Bet
No2.07 @ Betano
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Celta Vigo
vs
SC Freiburg
Expected goals
0.87
Celta Vigo xG
League Avg: 1.57
Total
1.53
0.66
SC Freiburg xG
League Avg: 1.21
1x2 probabilities
Home
37.9%
Draw
36.0%
Away
26.0%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
21.7%
Tip
1 - 0
18.8%
Tip
0 - 1
14.4%
More chances
1.5+
66%
Chance
2.5+
46%
Chance
3.5+
33%
Chance
BTTS
69%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Celta Vigo = 0.87 (league 1.57), SC Freiburg = 0.66 (league 1.21)
| SC Freiburg | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Celta Vigo | 0 | 21.7% | 14.4% | 4.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.8% | 12.4% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.1% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.9% · Draw 36.0% · Away win 26.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1