Thu, Apr 16 2026 • 19:00 •
Villa Park
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.57)
0.99 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 42.6% | 28.2% | 28.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.2%
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Bologna | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Aston Villa | 0 | 10.4% | 10.3% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.2% | 13.1% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.4% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Aston Villa | Bologna |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 67% |
| Attack | 67% | 53% |
| Defense | 80% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
77%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Aston Villa | Bologna | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Wins | 100% | 83% | 91% | 29% | 83% | 54% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 57% | 0% | 31% |
| Loses | 0% | 17% | 9% | 14% | 17% | 15% |
Form: Aston Villa: WWLWWWWWWWW • Bologna: LDWDWWDWWWDWL
League goals
| Metric | Aston Villa | Bologna | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 10 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 22 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Aston Villa | Bologna | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 45% | 85% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 64% | 18% | 46% | 23% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 0% | 23% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 15% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Aston Villa | Bologna | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Aston Villa | Bologna |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Aston Villa | Bologna |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-3 | 4-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 1-3 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Aston Villa | Bologna |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 70% | 30% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 86% | 14% |
| Total | 65.8% | 34.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Aston Villa or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.68 @ 1xBet
Draw4.30 @ 188Bet
Away5.43 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.77 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.22 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.80 @ Betfair
No2.10 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Aston Villa
vs
Bologna
Expected goals
1.27
Aston Villa xG
League Avg: 1.57
Total
2.27
0.99
Bologna xG
League Avg: 1.21
1x2 probabilities
Home
42.6%
Draw
28.2%
Away
28.9%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
13.2%
Tip
1 - 1
13.1%
Tip
0 - 0
10.4%
More chances
1.5+
77%
Chance
2.5+
54%
Chance
3.5+
39%
Chance
BTTS
70%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Aston Villa = 1.27 (league 1.57), Bologna = 0.99 (league 1.21)
| Bologna | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Aston Villa | 0 | 10.4% | 10.3% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.2% | 13.1% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.4% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.6% · Draw 28.2% · Away win 28.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1