Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 16:15 •
Maurice Dufrasne
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.47)
1.26 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 28.8% | 28.4% | 42.5% |
best score tips
0 - 1
13.4%
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 0
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
| KVC Westerlo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Standard Liege | 0 | 10.6% | 13.4% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.4% | 13.1% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Standard Liege | KVC Westerlo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 53% |
| Attack | 40% | 27% |
| Defense | 80% | 87% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Standard Liege | KVC Westerlo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 16 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| Wins | 27% | 50% | 39% | 44% | 27% | 35% |
| Draws | 40% | 6% | 23% | 19% | 40% | 29% |
| Loses | 33% | 44% | 39% | 38% | 33% | 35% |
Form: Standard Liege: WDWLLLDWLLWLWLDWWLWLLLWLDWDWDDW • KVC Westerlo: LWLLWWLDLWDDLLDDWDWLLDWLWWDWLDW
League goals
| Metric | Standard Liege | KVC Westerlo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 16 | 30 | 19 | 19 | 38 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 18 | 18 | 36 | 16 | 24 | 40 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Standard Liege | KVC Westerlo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 61% | 68% | 61% | 61% |
| 1.5 | 26% | 26% | 39% | 35% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 16% | 13% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 6% | 6% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Standard Liege | KVC Westerlo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | Standard Liege | KVC Westerlo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Standard Liege | KVC Westerlo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-3 | 4-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-0 | 0-4 | 5-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Standard Liege | KVC Westerlo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 49.8% | 50.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Standard Liege or draw and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.62 @ 10Bet
Draw3.35 @ Unibet
Away3.16 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.98 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.96 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.75 @ Bet365
No2.14 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Standard Liege = 0.98 (league 1.47), KVC Westerlo = 1.26 (league 1.24)
| KVC Westerlo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Standard Liege | 0 | 10.6% | 13.4% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.4% | 13.1% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.8% · Draw 28.4% · Away win 42.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1
