Sun, Apr 5 2026 • 21:30 •
Estadio Belvedere
Expected Goals
2.37 (league 1.14)
1.93 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.0% | 19.5% | 30.7% |
best score tips
2 - 1
7.4%
2 - 2
7.1%
1 - 1
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Deportivo Maldonado | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Liverpool Montevideo | 0 | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 3.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 3.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Liverpool Montevideo | Deportivo Maldonado |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 47% |
| Attack | 54% | 31% |
| Defense | 46% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Liverpool Montevideo | Deportivo Maldonado | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Wins | 25% | 40% | 33% | 100% | 20% | 56% |
| Draws | 50% | 40% | 44% | 0% | 20% | 11% |
| Loses | 25% | 20% | 22% | 0% | 60% | 33% |
Form: Liverpool Montevideo: WLDWWDLDD • Deportivo Maldonado: WWLWDWLWL
League goals
| Metric | Liverpool Montevideo | Deportivo Maldonado | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 5 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 9 | 10 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Liverpool Montevideo | Deportivo Maldonado | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 67% | 89% | 56% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 33% | 33% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 22% | 11% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Liverpool Montevideo | Deportivo Maldonado | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Liverpool Montevideo | Deportivo Maldonado |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Liverpool Montevideo | Deportivo Maldonado |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 1-0 | — | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Liverpool Montevideo | Deportivo Maldonado |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 46% | 54% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 65% | 35% |
| Total | 59.0% | 41.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Liverpool Montevideo or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.28 @ Unibet
Draw3.32 @ Pinnacle
Away3.39 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.10 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.75 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.97 @ 188Bet
No1.93 @ Betano
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Liverpool Montevideo
vs
Deportivo Maldonado
Expected goals
2.37
Liverpool Montevideo xG
League Avg: 1.14
Total
4.30
1.93
Deportivo Maldonado xG
League Avg: 0.94
1x2 probabilities
Home
45.0%
Draw
19.5%
Away
30.7%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 1
7.4%
Tip
2 - 2
7.1%
Tip
1 - 1
6.2%
More chances
1.5+
79%
Chance
2.5+
56%
Chance
3.5+
40%
Chance
BTTS
68%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Liverpool Montevideo = 2.37 (league 1.14), Deportivo Maldonado = 1.93 (league 0.94)
| Deportivo Maldonado | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Liverpool Montevideo | 0 | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 3.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 3.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.0% · Draw 19.5% · Away win 30.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1