Sun, Apr 5 2026 • 15:30 •
Parque Capurro
Expected Goals
0.47 (league 1.06)
0.53 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 24.8% | 46.7% | 28.5% |
best score tips
0 - 0
37.0%
0 - 1
19.4%
1 - 0
17.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Tacuarembo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fenix | 0 | 37.0% | 19.4% | 5.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.4% | 9.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Fenix | Tacuarembo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 33% | 33% |
| Attack | 9% | 18% |
| Defense | 91% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.5 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.5 | 2 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
21%
FT probability
2.5+
15%
FT probability
3.5+
11%
FT probability
BTTS
47%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Fenix | Tacuarembo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | — | 0% |
| Draws | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | — | 100% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | — | 0% |
Form: Fenix: DD • Tacuarembo: DD
League goals
| Metric | Fenix | Tacuarembo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Fenix | Tacuarembo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 50% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Fenix | Tacuarembo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Fenix | Tacuarembo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Fenix | Tacuarembo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Fenix | Tacuarembo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 55% | 45% |
| Total | 51.0% | 49.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Fenix or draw and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.52 @ Betano
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away3.09 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.57 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.12 @ Superbet
No1.67 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Fenix = 0.47 (league 1.06), Tacuarembo = 0.53 (league 0.95)
| Tacuarembo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fenix | 0 | 37.0% | 19.4% | 5.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.4% | 9.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.8% · Draw 46.7% · Away win 28.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1
