Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 13:00 •
Sportitalia Arena
Expected Goals
2.83 (league 1.41)
1.66 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 55.3% | 16.9% | 20.3% |
best score tips
2 - 1
7.5%
3 - 1
7.0%
2 - 2
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Leon | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Folgore Caratese | 0 | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 4.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 4.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Folgore Caratese | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 100% | 33% |
| Attack | 100% | 71% |
| Defense | 57% | 29% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.8 | 5 | 1.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.8 | 5 | 1.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
87%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
85%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Folgore Caratese | Leon | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Folgore Caratese: WWWW • Leon: DDDD
League goals
| Metric | Folgore Caratese | Leon | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Folgore Caratese | Leon | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 75% | 0% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Folgore Caratese | Leon | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Folgore Caratese | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Folgore Caratese | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 4 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-2 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Folgore Caratese | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 66.8% | 33.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Folgore Caratese or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Folgore Caratese = 2.83 (league 1.41), Leon = 1.66 (league 1.21)
| Leon | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Folgore Caratese | 0 | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 4.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 4.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.3% · Draw 16.9% · Away win 20.3%
Vtot 3 , Vtod1