Mon, Sep 22 2025 • 11:45 •
Nisa Çandybyl stadiony
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.27)
1.04 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 32.1% | 30.9% | 36.9% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.2%
0 - 0
13.7%
1 - 1
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Şagadam | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Aşgabat | 0 | 13.7% | 14.2% | 7.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.0% | 13.5% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.2% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Aşgabat | Şagadam |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 33% |
| Attack | 36% | 29% |
| Defense | 36% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Aşgabat | Şagadam | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 11 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| Wins | 25% | 27% | 26% | 56% | 30% | 42% |
| Draws | 25% | 0% | 11% | 11% | 50% | 32% |
| Loses | 50% | 73% | 63% | 33% | 20% | 26% |
Form: Aşgabat: LLDWWLWLLLDLLLLLWWL • Şagadam: WWDLLDWDWWWLDWWLDLD
League goals
| Metric | Aşgabat | Şagadam | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 7 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 21 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 13 | 26 | 39 | 13 | 11 | 24 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Aşgabat | Şagadam | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 47% | 84% | 84% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 26% | 58% | 16% | 32% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 26% | 11% | 16% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 21% | 0% | 16% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Aşgabat | Şagadam | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Aşgabat | Şagadam |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Aşgabat | Şagadam |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 2-3 | 3-1 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 7-0 | 1-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 7 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Aşgabat | Şagadam |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 39% | 61% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 36% | 64% |
| Total | 43.2% | 56.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Şagadam
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Aşgabat = 0.95 (league 1.27), Şagadam = 1.04 (league 1.38)
| Şagadam | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Aşgabat | 0 | 13.7% | 14.2% | 7.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.0% | 13.5% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.2% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.1% · Draw 30.9% · Away win 36.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1