Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 07:30 •
Tin Yip Road Park
Expected Goals
0.13 (league 1.93)
2.30 (league 1.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.4% | 11.7% | 83.9% |
best score tips
0 - 2
23.3%
0 - 1
20.3%
0 - 3
17.8%
Score & goals probability table
| South China | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Yuen Long | 0 | 8.8% | 20.3% | 23.3% | 17.8% | 10.2% | 4.7% |
| 1 | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Yuen Long | South China |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Attack | 24% | 53% |
| Defense | 53% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Yuen Long | South China | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 0% | 33% | 20% | 67% | 50% | 60% |
| Draws | 0% | 67% | 40% | 0% | 50% | 20% |
| Loses | 100% | 0% | 40% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
Form: Yuen Long: LWLDD • South China: LWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Yuen Long | South China | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 6 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GA avg | 3.0 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Yuen Long | South China | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 60% | 40% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 40% | 20% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Yuen Long | South China | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Yuen Long | South China |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Yuen Long | South China |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-1 | 5-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | — | 0-2 | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Yuen Long | South China |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 31% | 69% |
| Def | 27% | 73% |
| Poisson Distribution | 5% | 95% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 47% | 53% |
| Total | 34.2% | 65.8% |
Advice: Winner : South China
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Yuen Long = 0.13 (league 1.93), South China = 2.30 (league 1.96)
| South China | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Yuen Long | 0 | 8.8% | 20.3% | 23.3% | 17.8% | 10.2% | 4.7% |
| 1 | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.4% · Draw 11.7% · Away win 83.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1