J3 League — Japan
Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 05:00 • Axis Bird Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.40) 1.13 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.1% 28.3% 34.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
1 - 0
11.8%
0 - 1
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Kitakyushu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gainare Tottori 0 9.9% 11.2% 6.3% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
1 11.8% 13.2% 7.5% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.9% 7.8% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.7% 3.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGainare TottoriKitakyushu
Played55
Form60%67%
Attack75%83%
Defense17%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gainare Tottori Kitakyushu
HATHAT
Played171835181735
Wins59%17%37%39%53%46%
Draws24%11%17%22%6%14%
Loses18%72%46%39%41%40%

Form: Gainare Tottori: LDDLLWLDLDWLLWWLWWWLWLWDLLDWLLWLLWW • Kitakyushu: WLWWLWWLDLDWWDLWLLLLWWLLDLWWLWDWWWL

League goals

Metric Gainare Tottori Kitakyushu
HATHAT
GF total261238172441
GF avg1.50.71.10.91.41.2
GA total162844171835
GA avg0.91.61.30.91.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGainare TottoriKitakyushu
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%71%74%66%
1.529%34%29%23%
2.511%17%11%9%
3.56%3%3%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGainare TottoriKitakyushu
HATHAT
Clean sheets82107512
Failed to score21113459

Penalties

MetricGainare TottoriKitakyushu
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total04

Streaks

MetricGainare TottoriKitakyushu
Wins33
Draws21
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-42-01-4
Biggest losses1-43-01-34-0
Goals For4424
Goals Against4334

Model comparison

MetricGainare TottoriKitakyushu
Form47%53%
Att47%53%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h40%60%
Goals50%50%
Total45.3%54.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Kitakyushu

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.15 @ Betano
Draw3.43 @ Pinnacle
Away2.33 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.18 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.75 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Betano
No1.91 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gainare Tottori = 1.18 (league 1.40), Kitakyushu = 1.13 (league 1.12)

Kitakyushu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gainare Tottori 0 9.9% 11.2% 6.3% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
1 11.8% 13.2% 7.5% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.9% 7.8% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.7% 3.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.1% · Draw 28.3% · Away win 34.4%

Vtot 2 , Vtod2