Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 05:00 •
Po Kong Village Road Park 1
Expected Goals
8.28 (league 1.93)
0.51 (league 1.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 16.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
best score tips
5 - 0
4.9%
4 - 0
3.0%
5 - 1
2.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Yuen Long | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sham Shui Po | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sham Shui Po | Yuen Long |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 33% | 33% |
| Attack | 40% | 10% |
| Defense | 60% | 70% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 2.7 | 2 | 0.7 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 2.7 | 6 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
9.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
65%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sham Shui Po | Yuen Long | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 67% | 100% | 0% | 67% |
Form: Sham Shui Po: LLW • Yuen Long: LWL
League goals
| Metric | Sham Shui Po | Yuen Long | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GF avg | 8.0 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 1 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 3.5 | 2.7 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sham Shui Po | Yuen Long | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 33% | 100% | 67% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 67% | 0% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 67% | 0% | 67% |
| 3.5 | 33% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sham Shui Po | Yuen Long | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sham Shui Po | Yuen Long |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sham Shui Po | Yuen Long |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 8-1 | — | — | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-0 | 0-3 | — |
| Goals For | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sham Shui Po | Yuen Long |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 80% | 20% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 36% | 64% |
| Total | 51.8% | 48.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Yuen Long
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sham Shui Po = 8.28 (league 1.93), Yuen Long = 0.51 (league 1.96)
| Yuen Long | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sham Shui Po | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.5% · Draw 0.2% · Away win 0.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1