EFL Trophy — England
Tue, Oct 21 2025 • 18:00 • Lamex Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.84 (league 2.11) 1.27 (league 1.58)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.2% 15.5% 14.2%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.4%
3 - 1
8.0%
2 - 0
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
Crystal Palace U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stevenage 0 1.6% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
1 4.7% 5.9% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.6% 8.4% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 6.3% 8.0% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 4.5% 5.7% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
5 2.5% 3.2% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStevenageCrystal Palace U21
Played22
Form100%17%
Attack39%22%
Defense89%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 3.54 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 16 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

63%
FT probability

BTTS

98%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stevenage Crystal Palace U21
HATHAT
Played112022
Wins100%100%100%—0%0%
Draws0%0%0%—50%50%
Loses0%0%0%—50%50%

Form: Stevenage: WW • Crystal Palace U21: DL

League goals

Metric Stevenage Crystal Palace U21
HATHAT
GF total257044
GF avg2.05.03.50.02.02.0
GA total112066
GA avg1.01.01.00.03.03.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStevenageCrystal Palace U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.5100%0%50%100%
2.550%0%50%100%
3.550%0%0%0%
4.550%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStevenageCrystal Palace U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricStevenageCrystal Palace U21
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricStevenageCrystal Palace U21
Wins20
Draws01
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-5——
Biggest losses———3-1
Goals For2503
Goals Against1103

Model comparison

MetricStevenageCrystal Palace U21
Form86%14%
Att64%36%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h100%0%
Goals75%25%
Total73.0%27.0%

Advice: Combo Winner : Stevenage and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.29 @ William Hill
Draw6.00 @ Unibet
Away9.25 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.90 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Unibet
No2.12 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Stevenage = 2.84 (league 2.11), Crystal Palace U21 = 1.27 (league 1.58)

Crystal Palace U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stevenage 0 1.6% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
1 4.7% 5.9% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.6% 8.4% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 6.3% 8.0% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 4.5% 5.7% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
5 2.5% 3.2% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.2% · Draw 15.5% · Away win 14.2%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1