Tue, Dec 9 2025 • 15:30 • Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.54 (league 1.23) 2.31 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.8% 19.8% 51.9%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.7%
1 - 1
7.6%
2 - 2
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
Mil-Muğan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sumqayıt 0 2.1% 4.9% 5.7% 4.4% 2.5% 1.2%
1 3.3% 7.6% 8.7% 6.7% 3.9% 1.8%
2 2.5% 5.8% 6.7% 5.2% 3.0% 1.4%
3 1.3% 3.0% 3.5% 2.7% 1.5% 0.7%
4 0.5% 1.2% 1.3% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSumqayıtMil-Muğan
Played55
Form60%40%
Attack69%46%
Defense38%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sumqayıt Mil-Muğan
HATHAT
Played76136713
Wins43%50%46%17%57%38%
Draws14%17%15%50%0%23%
Loses43%33%38%33%43%38%

Form: Sumqayıt: WWDLLDLWLWWLW • Mil-Muğan: LDWWWDLDWLLWL

League goals

Metric Sumqayıt Mil-Muğan
HATHAT
GF total1361941014
GF avg1.91.01.50.71.41.1
GA total134177714
GA avg1.90.71.31.21.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSumqayıtMil-Muğan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%77%54%62%
1.546%31%31%38%
2.523%15%23%8%
3.58%8%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSumqayıtMil-Muğan
HATHAT
Clean sheets123235
Failed to score224336

Penalties

MetricSumqayıtMil-Muğan
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricSumqayıtMil-Muğan
Wins23
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-21-00-3
Biggest losses0-31-00-32-0
Goals For4223
Goals Against4132

Model comparison

MetricSumqayıtMil-Muğan
Form60%40%
Att60%40%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total53.0%47.0%

Advice: Double chance : Sumqayıt or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.79 @ 188Bet
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away4.85 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Betfair
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sumqayıt = 1.54 (league 1.23), Mil-Muğan = 2.31 (league 1.15)

Mil-Muğan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sumqayıt 0 2.1% 4.9% 5.7% 4.4% 2.5% 1.2%
1 3.3% 7.6% 8.7% 6.7% 3.9% 1.8%
2 2.5% 5.8% 6.7% 5.2% 3.0% 1.4%
3 1.3% 3.0% 3.5% 2.7% 1.5% 0.7%
4 0.5% 1.2% 1.3% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.8% · Draw 19.8% · Away win 51.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1