Serie A Women — Italy
Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 11:30 • Stadio La Sciorba
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.82 (league 1.65) 1.87 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.2% 21.6% 38.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
8.5%
1 - 2
7.9%
2 - 1
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
Sassuolo W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Genoa W 0 2.5% 4.7% 4.4% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5%
1 4.5% 8.5% 7.9% 4.9% 2.3% 0.9%
2 4.1% 7.7% 7.2% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8%
3 2.5% 4.7% 4.4% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5%
4 1.1% 2.1% 2.0% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGenoa WSassuolo W
Played55
Form20%13%
Attack17%28%
Defense33%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Genoa W Sassuolo W
HATHAT
Played448538
Wins50%0%25%20%0%13%
Draws0%0%0%20%67%38%
Loses50%100%75%60%33%50%

Form: Genoa W: LLWLWLLL • Sassuolo W: DLWLDLDL

League goals

Metric Genoa W Sassuolo W
HATHAT
GF total628257
GF avg1.50.51.00.41.70.9
GA total611174610
GA avg1.52.82.10.82.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGenoa WSassuolo W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%88%63%75%
1.513%75%25%50%
2.513%25%0%0%
3.50%13%0%0%
4.50%13%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGenoa WSassuolo W
HATHAT
Clean sheets101202
Failed to score022303

Penalties

MetricGenoa WSassuolo W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricGenoa WSassuolo W
Wins11
Draws01
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1—1-0—
Biggest losses1-35-01-22-1
Goals For3112
Goals Against3522

Model comparison

MetricGenoa WSassuolo W
Form60%40%
Att38%63%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total47.0%53.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sassuolo W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.60 @ Unibet
Draw3.51 @ Pinnacle
Away2.02 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ SBO
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Genoa W = 1.82 (league 1.65), Sassuolo W = 1.87 (league 1.37)

Sassuolo W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Genoa W 0 2.5% 4.7% 4.4% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5%
1 4.5% 8.5% 7.9% 4.9% 2.3% 0.9%
2 4.1% 7.7% 7.2% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8%
3 2.5% 4.7% 4.4% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5%
4 1.1% 2.1% 2.0% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.2% · Draw 21.6% · Away win 38.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1