Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 18:00 • Estádio José Gomes
Not Started
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Expected Goals
0.93 (league 1.39) 1.59 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.1% 25.2% 52.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.8%
1 - 1
11.9%
0 - 2
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
SC Braga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estrela 0 8.0% 12.8% 10.1% 5.4% 2.1% 0.7%
1 7.5% 11.9% 9.5% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
2 3.5% 5.6% 4.4% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.1% 1.7% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEstrelaSC Braga
Played55
Form47%80%
Attack37%47%
Defense47%84%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Estrela SC Braga
HATHAT
Played88167815
Wins25%25%25%57%38%47%
Draws38%38%38%14%38%27%
Loses38%38%38%29%25%27%

Form: Estrela: DLDDLDWLLWDLWLDW • SC Braga: WWDDLDLDWLWWWWL

League goals

Metric Estrela SC Braga
HATHAT
GF total101020121426
GF avg1.31.31.31.71.81.7
GA total915245813
GA avg1.11.91.50.71.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEstrelaSC Braga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%75%80%67%
1.531%50%53%20%
2.525%19%27%0%
3.56%6%13%0%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEstrelaSC Braga
HATHAT
Clean sheets224325
Failed to score347213

Penalties

MetricEstrelaSC Braga
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total36

Streaks

MetricEstrelaSC Braga
Wins14
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-03-54-00-4
Biggest losses0-24-00-12-1
Goals For3544
Goals Against2422

Model comparison

MetricEstrelaSC Braga
Form37%63%
Att44%56%
Def23%77%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h15%85%
Goals25%75%
Total30.2%69.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or SC Braga

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.17 @ 1xBet
Draw4.37 @ 1xBet
Away1.51 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.99 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.08 @ Unibet
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Estrela = 0.93 (league 1.39), SC Braga = 1.59 (league 1.25)

SC Braga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estrela 0 8.0% 12.8% 10.1% 5.4% 2.1% 0.7%
1 7.5% 11.9% 9.5% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
2 3.5% 5.6% 4.4% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.1% 1.7% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.1% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 52.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1