Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 21:30 • Estadio Arreola
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.94 (league 1.53) 1.83 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.1% 22.7% 57.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
11.5%
1 - 1
10.8%
0 - 2
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
Zitacuaro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ciervos 0 6.3% 11.5% 10.5% 6.4% 2.9% 1.1%
1 5.9% 10.8% 9.9% 6.0% 2.7% 1.0%
2 2.8% 5.1% 4.6% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5%
3 0.9% 1.6% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCiervosZitacuaro
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack45%18%
Defense45%91%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.21 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ciervos Zitacuaro
HATHAT
Played810189918
Wins13%20%17%22%22%22%
Draws13%10%11%56%22%39%
Loses75%70%72%22%56%39%

Form: Ciervos: LLLLLWLLLLLLDLWLDW • Zitacuaro: DWLDLLLWLDLLWDDDDW

League goals

Metric Ciervos Zitacuaro
HATHAT
GF total671361016
GF avg0.80.70.70.71.10.9
GA total15193471623
GA avg1.91.91.90.81.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCiervosZitacuaro
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%83%61%72%
1.517%72%17%33%
2.56%28%11%11%
3.50%6%0%6%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCiervosZitacuaro
HATHAT
Clean sheets213415
Failed to score369347

Penalties

MetricCiervosZitacuaro
Scored (total | %)4 | 80.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)1 | 20.00%0 | 0%
Total50

Streaks

MetricCiervosZitacuaro
Wins11
Draws14
Losses63

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-21-01-3
Biggest losses0-34-00-25-0
Goals For2313
Goals Against3425

Model comparison

MetricCiervosZitacuaro
Form50%50%
Att71%29%
Def14%86%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h62%38%
Goals54%46%
Total47.5%52.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Ciervos or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.82 @ 1xBet
Draw3.55 @ Betano
Away1.91 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.83 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.82 @ Superbet
No1.95 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ciervos = 0.94 (league 1.53), Zitacuaro = 1.83 (league 1.14)

Zitacuaro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ciervos 0 6.3% 11.5% 10.5% 6.4% 2.9% 1.1%
1 5.9% 10.8% 9.9% 6.0% 2.7% 1.0%
2 2.8% 5.1% 4.6% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5%
3 0.9% 1.6% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.1% · Draw 22.7% · Away win 57.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1