Tue, Feb 17 2026 • 00:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.30 (league 1.66) 3.18 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.0% 13.6% 64.0%
best score tips
1 - 3
7.9%
1 - 2
7.5%
1 - 4
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
Pachuca W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Toluca W 0 1.1% 3.6% 5.7% 6.1% 4.8% 3.1%
1 1.5% 4.7% 7.5% 7.9% 6.3% 4.0%
2 1.0% 3.1% 4.9% 5.1% 4.1% 2.6%
3 0.4% 1.3% 2.1% 2.2% 1.8% 1.1%
4 0.1% 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricToluca WPachuca W
Played55
Form60%87%
Attack86%100%
Defense50%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.421 | 4.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

79%
FT probability

3.5+

56%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Toluca W Pachuca W
HATHAT
Played141327141327
Wins71%46%59%64%85%74%
Draws7%38%22%21%8%15%
Loses21%15%19%14%8%11%

Form: Toluca W: DWWWWWDLWWLDDWDWWDLWWWLWWWL • Pachuca W: WWDLWDWWWWWWDWWWWWLWWLWWDWW

League goals

Metric Toluca W Pachuca W
HATHAT
GF total342357414990
GF avg2.41.82.12.93.83.3
GA total151631171229
GA avg1.11.21.11.20.91.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineToluca WPachuca W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%67%93%63%
1.563%33%85%33%
2.533%11%63%4%
3.519%4%33%4%
4.57%0%30%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricToluca WPachuca W
HATHAT
Clean sheets6395510
Failed to score224112

Penalties

MetricToluca WPachuca W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricToluca WPachuca W
Wins56
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-47-00-9
Biggest losses0-22-00-51-0
Goals For6479
Goals Against3452

Model comparison

MetricToluca WPachuca W
Form41%59%
Att36%64%
Def22%78%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h60%40%
Goals42%58%
Total38.7%61.3%

Advice: Combo Winner : Pachuca W and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.10 @ Superbet
Draw3.61 @ Pinnacle
Away2.62 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.50 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ William Hill
No2.65 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Toluca W = 1.30 (league 1.66), Pachuca W = 3.18 (league 1.32)

Pachuca W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Toluca W 0 1.1% 3.6% 5.7% 6.1% 4.8% 3.1%
1 1.5% 4.7% 7.5% 7.9% 6.3% 4.0%
2 1.0% 3.1% 4.9% 5.1% 4.1% 2.6%
3 0.4% 1.3% 2.1% 2.2% 1.8% 1.1%
4 0.1% 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.0% · Draw 13.6% · Away win 64.0%

vtt 2 , vtd1