Serie A — Italy
Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 14:00 • MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.88 (league 1.23) 1.59 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.7% 25.2% 53.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.5%
1 - 1
11.8%
0 - 2
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Atalanta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sassuolo 0 8.5% 13.5% 10.7% 5.7% 2.2% 0.7%
1 7.5% 11.8% 9.4% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
2 3.3% 5.2% 4.1% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.0% 1.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSassuoloAtalanta
Played55
Form80%87%
Attack75%83%
Defense42%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sassuolo Atalanta
HATHAT
Played131326141226
Wins38%38%38%57%33%46%
Draws15%23%19%29%42%35%
Loses46%38%42%14%25%19%

Form: Sassuolo: LLWLWWDLWLWDLWDLDDLLLWWLWW • Atalanta: DDWWDDDDDLLLWLWWLWWWDWDWWW

League goals

Metric Sassuolo Atalanta
HATHAT
GF total151732221436
GF avg1.21.31.21.61.21.4
GA total191635111122
GA avg1.51.21.30.80.90.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSassuoloAtalanta
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%77%81%62%
1.538%38%38%12%
2.519%12%12%12%
3.50%4%8%0%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSassuoloAtalanta
HATHAT
Clean sheets3365510
Failed to score549325

Penalties

MetricSassuoloAtalanta
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricSassuoloAtalanta
Wins23
Draws25
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-34-00-3
Biggest losses0-52-00-33-1
Goals For3343
Goals Against5333

Model comparison

MetricSassuoloAtalanta
Form48%52%
Att47%53%
Def22%78%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h40%60%
Goals38%62%
Total38.5%61.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Atalanta

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.81 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.52 @ 1xBet
Away2.15 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.94 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ Pinnacle
No2.14 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sassuolo = 0.88 (league 1.23), Atalanta = 1.59 (league 1.13)

Atalanta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sassuolo 0 8.5% 13.5% 10.7% 5.7% 2.2% 0.7%
1 7.5% 11.8% 9.4% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
2 3.3% 5.2% 4.1% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.0% 1.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.7% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 53.5%

vtt 15 , vtd1