League One
— Scotland
Sat, Mar 7 2026 • 15:00 •
Recreation Park
Expected Goals
2.05 (league 1.41)
0.68 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 67.5% | 19.3% | 11.3% |
best score tips
2 - 0
13.7%
1 - 0
13.3%
3 - 0
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Kelty Hearts | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Alloa Athletic | 0 | 6.5% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.3% | 9.1% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.7% | 9.3% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.3% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Alloa Athletic | Kelty Hearts |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Attack | 100% | 50% |
| Defense | 0% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Alloa Athletic | Kelty Hearts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 46% | 46% | 46% | 0% | 23% | 11% |
| Draws | 38% | 15% | 27% | 36% | 31% | 33% |
| Loses | 15% | 38% | 27% | 64% | 46% | 56% |
Form: Alloa Athletic: WWWLLWLLWDDWWDDWLLDDWLDWWW • Kelty Hearts: LWLLLLWLLDLLDDLLLLWDLLDDDDD
League goals
| Metric | Alloa Athletic | Kelty Hearts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 16 | 37 | 6 | 17 | 23 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 9 | 11 | 20 | 28 | 23 | 51 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Alloa Athletic | Kelty Hearts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 69% | 58% | 63% | 85% |
| 1.5 | 42% | 15% | 22% | 59% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 4% | 0% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 12% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Alloa Athletic | Kelty Hearts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Alloa Athletic | Kelty Hearts |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Alloa Athletic | Kelty Hearts |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-4 | — | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-1 | 0-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Alloa Athletic | Kelty Hearts |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 77% | 23% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 66.0% | 34.0% |
Advice: Winner : Alloa Athletic
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Alloa Athletic = 2.05 (league 1.41), Kelty Hearts = 0.68 (league 1.33)
| Kelty Hearts | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Alloa Athletic | 0 | 6.5% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.3% | 9.1% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.7% | 9.3% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.3% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.5% · Draw 19.3% · Away win 11.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1