Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 01:00 •
Estadio Claudio Suárez
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.53)
2.30 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 23.5% | 19.7% | 53.4% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.0%
1 - 1
7.8%
1 - 3
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Celaya | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Héroes de Zaci | 0 | 2.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 3.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Héroes de Zaci | Celaya |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 67% |
| Attack | 24% | 65% |
| Defense | 12% | 59% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
90%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Héroes de Zaci | Celaya | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 9 | 19 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Wins | 50% | 22% | 37% | 80% | 40% | 60% |
| Draws | 10% | 11% | 11% | 0% | 20% | 10% |
| Loses | 40% | 67% | 53% | 20% | 40% | 30% |
Form: Héroes de Zaci: WLWDWLWLDLWWLLLLLLW • Celaya: WLWLLLLDWWWWWWWWDWLW
League goals
| Metric | Héroes de Zaci | Celaya | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 9 | 23 | 25 | 14 | 39 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 19 | 17 | 36 | 8 | 16 | 24 |
| GA avg | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Héroes de Zaci | Celaya | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 68% | 89% | 85% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 37% | 47% | 55% | 35% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 37% | 35% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 16% | 10% | 15% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Héroes de Zaci | Celaya | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Héroes de Zaci | Celaya |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Héroes de Zaci | Celaya |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 8 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 6 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-2 | 6-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-0 | 1-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Héroes de Zaci | Celaya |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 23% | 77% |
| Att | 27% | 73% |
| Def | 32% | 68% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 30.5% | 69.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Celaya
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Héroes de Zaci = 1.46 (league 1.53), Celaya = 2.30 (league 1.15)
| Celaya | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Héroes de Zaci | 0 | 2.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 3.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.5% · Draw 19.7% · Away win 53.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1