Fri, Apr 3 2026 • 18:00 •
Koning Willem II Stadion
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.75)
1.18 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 42.7% | 26.0% | 30.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
1 - 0
10.4%
2 - 1
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Jong PSV U21 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Willem II | 0 | 7.2% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.4% | 12.4% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.5% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Willem II | Jong PSV U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 27% |
| Attack | 71% | 24% |
| Defense | 76% | 65% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Willem II | Jong PSV U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 17 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 33 |
| Wins | 44% | 47% | 45% | 47% | 44% | 45% |
| Draws | 25% | 24% | 24% | 18% | 13% | 15% |
| Loses | 31% | 29% | 30% | 35% | 44% | 39% |
Form: Willem II: LLWWDDWWWLWLDLDDWLWLDWWLWDWLWDWWL • Jong PSV U21: WWWWWLWLDDDLLWWDLWLLWLWWLWLWDWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Willem II | Jong PSV U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 31 | 50 | 31 | 31 | 62 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 15 | 25 | 40 | 24 | 34 | 58 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Willem II | Jong PSV U21 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 85% | 73% | 85% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 33% | 64% | 55% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 6% | 33% | 24% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 6% | 6% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 3% | 0% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Willem II | Jong PSV U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Willem II | Jong PSV U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | Willem II | Jong PSV U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-5 | 4-0 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 5-1 | 0-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Willem II | Jong PSV U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 58.7% | 41.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Willem II or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.61 @ Dafabet
Draw4.75 @ Bet365
Away4.80 @ Marathonbet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.35 @ Unibet
Under 2.53.40 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.42 @ Betano
No3.00 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Willem II
vs
Jong PSV U21
Expected goals
1.44
Willem II xG
League Avg: 1.75
Total
2.63
1.18
Jong PSV U21 xG
League Avg: 1.44
1x2 probabilities
Home
42.7%
Draw
26.0%
Away
30.9%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
12.4%
Tip
1 - 0
10.4%
Tip
2 - 1
8.9%
More chances
1.5+
89%
Chance
2.5+
63%
Chance
3.5+
45%
Chance
BTTS
77%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Willem II = 1.44 (league 1.75), Jong PSV U21 = 1.18 (league 1.44)
| Jong PSV U21 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Willem II | 0 | 7.2% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.4% | 12.4% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.5% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.7% · Draw 26.0% · Away win 30.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1