Thu, Apr 16 2026 • 19:00 •
City Ground
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.58)
0.82 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 46.7% | 29.0% | 24.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.7%
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 0
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
| FC Porto | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nottingham Forest | 0 | 12.3% | 10.3% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.4% | 13.0% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.7% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nottingham Forest | FC Porto |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 73% |
| Attack | 53% | 60% |
| Defense | 67% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nottingham Forest | FC Porto | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 50% | 43% | 46% | 83% | 40% | 64% |
| Draws | 0% | 43% | 23% | 17% | 40% | 27% |
| Loses | 50% | 14% | 31% | 0% | 20% | 9% |
Nottingham ForestDLWDWWLWWLLWD
FC PortoWWLDWWDWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Nottingham Forest | FC Porto | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 11 | 23 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 6 | 6 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nottingham Forest | FC Porto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 62% | 91% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 62% | 23% | 55% | 9% |
| 2.5 | 31% | 8% | 18% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nottingham Forest | FC Porto | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nottingham Forest | FC Porto |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nottingham Forest | FC Porto |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 1-0 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nottingham Forest | FC Porto |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 39% | 61% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 57.8% | 42.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.41 @ 1xBet
Draw3.25 @ 188Bet
Away3.47 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.42 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.66 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No1.88 @ 188Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Nottingham Forest
vs
FC Porto
Expected goals
1.27
Nottingham Forest xG
League Avg: 1.58
Total
2.09
0.82
FC Porto xG
League Avg: 1.22
1x2 probabilities
Home
46.7%
Draw
29.0%
Away
24.1%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
15.7%
Tip
1 - 1
12.9%
Tip
0 - 0
12.3%
More chances
1.5+
72%
Chance
2.5+
51%
Chance
3.5+
36%
Chance
BTTS
70%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Nottingham Forest = 1.26 (league 1.59), FC Porto = 0.84 (league 1.19)
| FC Porto | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nottingham Forest | 0 | 12.3% | 10.3% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.4% | 13.0% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.7% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.9% · Draw 29.1% · Away win 24.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1