Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 10:15 •
Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Expected Goals
1.94 (league 1.73)
1.01 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 57.7% | 21.7% | 19.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.2%
1 - 0
10.2%
2 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| NAC Breda | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | 0 | 5.2% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.2% | 10.2% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.9% | 9.9% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Fortuna Sittard | NAC Breda |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 13% |
| Attack | 54% | 31% |
| Defense | 15% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 14 | 2.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
88%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Fortuna Sittard | NAC Breda | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 43% | 27% | 34% | 27% | 7% | 17% |
| Draws | 21% | 13% | 17% | 33% | 29% | 31% |
| Loses | 36% | 60% | 48% | 40% | 64% | 52% |
Form: Fortuna Sittard: DLWWLWLWLLLWDDLLWDLWLDLWWLWLL • NAC Breda: LWLLDWLLDDWLLLLDLDLDDLWWLDLLD
League goals
| Metric | Fortuna Sittard | NAC Breda | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 20 | 43 | 18 | 11 | 29 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 24 | 30 | 54 | 21 | 29 | 50 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Fortuna Sittard | NAC Breda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 90% | 59% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 62% | 31% | 55% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 21% | 10% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 10% | 0% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Fortuna Sittard | NAC Breda | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | Fortuna Sittard | NAC Breda |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Fortuna Sittard | NAC Breda |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-3 | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 5-2 | 0-2 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Fortuna Sittard | NAC Breda |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 54% | 46% |
| Total | 62.5% | 37.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Fortuna Sittard or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.05 @ 188Bet
Draw3.61 @ Pinnacle
Away2.40 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.85 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.17 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.62 @ 10Bet
No2.40 @ 188Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Fortuna Sittard
vs
NAC Breda
Expected goals
1.94
Fortuna Sittard xG
League Avg: 1.73
Total
2.95
1.01
NAC Breda xG
League Avg: 1.35
1x2 probabilities
Home
57.7%
Draw
21.7%
Away
19.0%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
10.2%
Tip
1 - 0
10.2%
Tip
2 - 1
9.9%
More chances
1.5+
88%
Chance
2.5+
62%
Chance
3.5+
44%
Chance
BTTS
75%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Fortuna Sittard = 1.94 (league 1.73), NAC Breda = 1.01 (league 1.35)
| NAC Breda | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | 0 | 5.2% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.2% | 10.2% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.9% | 9.9% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.7% · Draw 21.7% · Away win 19.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1