Thu, Apr 16 2026 • 19:00 •
Stade de la Meinau
Expected Goals
0.69 (league 1.62)
0.41 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 37.5% | 43.3% | 19.1% |
best score tips
0 - 0
33.2%
1 - 0
23.0%
0 - 1
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
| FSV Mainz 05 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Strasbourg | 0 | 33.2% | 13.6% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.0% | 9.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.0% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Strasbourg | FSV Mainz 05 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 73% |
| Attack | 50% | 50% |
| Defense | 64% | 93% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
58%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Strasbourg | FSV Mainz 05 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 40% | 83% | 64% | 100% | 20% | 64% |
| Draws | 60% | 0% | 27% | 0% | 40% | 18% |
| Loses | 0% | 17% | 9% | 0% | 40% | 18% |
Form: Strasbourg: DWWDWWWWWDL • FSV Mainz 05: LWWWWLDWDWW
League goals
| Metric | Strasbourg | FSV Mainz 05 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 10 | 17 | 13 | 3 | 16 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 4 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Strasbourg | FSV Mainz 05 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 82% | 82% | 45% |
| 1.5 | 55% | 18% | 45% | 9% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 0% | 9% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 9% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Strasbourg | FSV Mainz 05 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Strasbourg | FSV Mainz 05 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Strasbourg | FSV Mainz 05 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 2-3 | 4-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Strasbourg | FSV Mainz 05 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 48% | 52% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 17% | 83% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 39.4% | 60.6% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or FSV Mainz 05 and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.93 @ 10Bet
Draw3.70 @ Betfair
Away4.35 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.93 @ SBO
Under 2.51.99 @ 188Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.80 @ Betfair
No2.07 @ 188Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Strasbourg
vs
FSV Mainz 05
Expected goals
0.69
Strasbourg xG
League Avg: 1.62
Total
1.10
0.41
FSV Mainz 05 xG
League Avg: 1.17
1x2 probabilities
Home
37.5%
Draw
43.3%
Away
19.1%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
33.2%
Tip
1 - 0
23.0%
Tip
0 - 1
13.6%
More chances
1.5+
58%
Chance
2.5+
41%
Chance
3.5+
29%
Chance
BTTS
65%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Strasbourg = 0.69 (league 1.62), FSV Mainz 05 = 0.41 (league 1.17)
| FSV Mainz 05 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Strasbourg | 0 | 33.2% | 13.6% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.0% | 9.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.0% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.5% · Draw 43.3% · Away win 19.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1