Tue, Mar 10 2026 • 22:45 •
Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna
Expected Goals
1.00 (league 1.00)
1.04 (league 0.77)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 33.8% | 30.5% | 35.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.5%
0 - 1
13.5%
1 - 0
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Velez Sarsfield | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tigre | 0 | 13.0% | 13.5% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.0% | 13.5% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.5% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tigre | Velez Sarsfield |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 73% |
| Attack | 62% | 38% |
| Defense | 62% | 85% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tigre | Velez Sarsfield | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 75% | 25% | 50% | 75% | 50% | 63% |
| Draws | 25% | 50% | 38% | 25% | 50% | 38% |
| Loses | 0% | 25% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Tigre: WDWWWDLD • Velez Sarsfield: WWDWDWDW
League goals
| Metric | Tigre | Velez Sarsfield | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 6 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tigre | Velez Sarsfield | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 63% | 88% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 25% | 25% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tigre | Velez Sarsfield | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tigre | Velez Sarsfield |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tigre | Velez Sarsfield |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-4 | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | — | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tigre | Velez Sarsfield |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 62% | 38% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 48% | 52% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 55% | 45% |
| Total | 45.7% | 54.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Velez Sarsfield and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.74 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.94 @ 188Bet
Away3.30 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.53.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.39 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.46 @ Pinnacle
No1.60 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Tigre
vs
Velez Sarsfield
Expected goals
1.00
Tigre xG
League Avg: 1.00
Total
2.04
1.04
Velez Sarsfield xG
League Avg: 0.77
1x2 probabilities
Home
33.8%
Draw
30.5%
Away
35.6%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
13.5%
Tip
0 - 1
13.5%
Tip
1 - 0
13.0%
More chances
1.5+
61%
Chance
2.5+
43%
Chance
3.5+
31%
Chance
BTTS
67%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Tigre = 1.00 (league 1.00), Velez Sarsfield = 1.04 (league 0.77)
| Velez Sarsfield | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tigre | 0 | 13.0% | 13.5% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.0% | 13.5% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.5% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.8% · Draw 30.5% · Away win 35.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1