Carioca - 1
— Brazil
Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 21:00 •
Estádio do Maracanã
Expected Goals
2.35 (league 1.23)
1.82 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 46.8% | 19.6% | 29.3% |
best score tips
2 - 1
7.8%
2 - 2
7.1%
1 - 1
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Flamengo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fluminense | 0 | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 3.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Fluminense | Flamengo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 80% |
| Attack | 35% | 100% |
| Defense | 90% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 21 | 4.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Fluminense | Flamengo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Wins | 80% | 75% | 78% | 75% | 40% | 56% |
| Draws | 20% | 0% | 11% | 25% | 0% | 11% |
| Loses | 0% | 25% | 11% | 0% | 60% | 33% |
Form: Fluminense: WLWWWWWWD • Flamengo: DLLWLWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Fluminense | Flamengo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 2.7 |
| GA total | 4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 10 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Fluminense | Flamengo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 89% | 67% | 89% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 11% | 44% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 0% | 33% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 22% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 22% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Fluminense | Flamengo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Fluminense | Flamengo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Fluminense | Flamengo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 2-3 | 7-1 | 0-8 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | — | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Fluminense | Flamengo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 52% | 48% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 58% | 42% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 50.3% | 49.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Fluminense or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.95 @ Betano
Draw2.96 @ 10Bet
Away2.30 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.66 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.22 @ Pinnacle
No1.70 @ Betano
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Fluminense
vs
Flamengo
Expected goals
2.35
Fluminense xG
League Avg: 1.23
Total
4.17
1.82
Flamengo xG
League Avg: 1.05
1x2 probabilities
Home
46.8%
Draw
19.6%
Away
29.3%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 1
7.8%
Tip
2 - 2
7.1%
Tip
1 - 1
6.6%
More chances
1.5+
91%
Chance
2.5+
64%
Chance
3.5+
46%
Chance
BTTS
78%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Fluminense = 2.35 (league 1.23), Flamengo = 1.82 (league 1.05)
| Flamengo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fluminense | 0 | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 3.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.8% · Draw 19.6% · Away win 29.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1