Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 14:00 •
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.24)
0.93 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 39.9% | 30.1% | 29.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.4%
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Parma | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fiorentina | 0 | 12.8% | 11.9% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.4% | 13.4% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.1% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Fiorentina | Parma |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 67% |
| Attack | 35% | 35% |
| Defense | 53% | 65% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Fiorentina | Parma | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 23% | 14% | 19% | 21% | 38% | 30% |
| Draws | 31% | 36% | 33% | 36% | 31% | 33% |
| Loses | 46% | 50% | 48% | 43% | 31% | 37% |
Form: Fiorentina: DDLLDLLDLLDDLLLWLWDDWLLDWWL • Parma: LDLDWLDDLLDWLWLWDLWDDLLWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Fiorentina | Parma | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 12 | 30 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 19 | 23 | 42 | 19 | 13 | 32 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Fiorentina | Parma | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 74% | 85% | 56% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 26% | 56% | 19% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 15% | 0% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Fiorentina | Parma | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | Fiorentina | Parma |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Fiorentina | Parma |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-0 | 1-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Fiorentina | Parma |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41% | 59% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 36% | 64% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 44.8% | 55.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Parma
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.84 @ 1xBet
Draw3.65 @ 188Bet
Away5.25 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.04 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.91 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.92 @ Pinnacle
No2.00 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Fiorentina
vs
Parma
Expected goals
1.13
Fiorentina xG
League Avg: 1.24
Total
2.05
0.93
Parma xG
League Avg: 1.13
1x2 probabilities
Home
39.9%
Draw
30.1%
Away
29.8%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
14.4%
Tip
1 - 1
13.4%
Tip
0 - 0
12.8%
More chances
1.5+
66%
Chance
2.5+
46%
Chance
3.5+
33%
Chance
BTTS
66%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Fiorentina = 1.13 (league 1.24), Parma = 0.93 (league 1.13)
| Parma | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fiorentina | 0 | 12.8% | 11.9% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.4% | 13.4% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.1% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.9% · Draw 30.1% · Away win 29.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1