Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 20:00 •
MAC³PARK Stadion
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.73)
0.71 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.7% | 26.7% | 18.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.7%
2 - 0
12.1%
1 - 1
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
| NAC Breda | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| PEC Zwolle | 0 | 11.4% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.7% | 11.9% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.1% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | PEC Zwolle | NAC Breda |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 47% |
| Attack | 28% | 28% |
| Defense | 61% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | PEC Zwolle | NAC Breda | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 46% | 7% | 26% | 29% | 8% | 19% |
| Draws | 23% | 43% | 33% | 29% | 31% | 30% |
| Loses | 31% | 50% | 41% | 43% | 62% | 52% |
Form: PEC Zwolle: WWLLLDLLDDLWDWLWLDWLWLLDDDD • NAC Breda: LWLLDWLLDDWLLLLDLDLDDLWWLDL
League goals
| Metric | PEC Zwolle | NAC Breda | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 20 | 36 | 18 | 10 | 28 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 16 | 36 | 52 | 21 | 27 | 48 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | PEC Zwolle | NAC Breda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 85% | 81% | 59% | 85% |
| 1.5 | 37% | 56% | 33% | 56% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 19% | 11% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 15% | 0% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | PEC Zwolle | NAC Breda | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | PEC Zwolle | NAC Breda |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | PEC Zwolle | NAC Breda |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-2 | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 8-2 | 0-2 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 8 | 4 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | PEC Zwolle | NAC Breda |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 63% | 37% |
| Poisson Distribution | 68% | 32% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 59.2% | 40.8% |
Advice: Double chance : PEC Zwolle or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.41 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.51 @ Pinnacle
Away3.00 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.80 @ SBO
Under 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.63 @ Pinnacle
No2.35 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
PEC Zwolle
vs
NAC Breda
Expected goals
1.46
PEC Zwolle xG
League Avg: 1.73
Total
2.17
0.71
NAC Breda xG
League Avg: 1.35
1x2 probabilities
Home
54.7%
Draw
26.7%
Away
18.2%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
16.7%
Tip
2 - 0
12.1%
Tip
1 - 1
11.9%
More chances
1.5+
81%
Chance
2.5+
57%
Chance
3.5+
40%
Chance
BTTS
69%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): PEC Zwolle = 1.46 (league 1.73), NAC Breda = 0.71 (league 1.35)
| NAC Breda | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| PEC Zwolle | 0 | 11.4% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.7% | 11.9% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.1% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.7% · Draw 26.7% · Away win 18.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1