Sun, Apr 5 2026 • 14:45 •
Rat Verlegh Stadion
Expected Goals
1.43 (league 1.73)
1.44 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 36.8% | 24.9% | 37.5% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
1 - 2
8.4%
2 - 1
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Sparta Rotterdam | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| NAC Breda | 0 | 5.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 8.1% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | NAC Breda | Sparta Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 27% |
| Attack | 31% | 31% |
| Defense | 13% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | NAC Breda | Sparta Rotterdam | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 29% | 7% | 18% | 43% | 43% | 43% |
| Draws | 29% | 29% | 29% | 29% | 7% | 18% |
| Loses | 43% | 64% | 54% | 29% | 50% | 39% |
Form: NAC Breda: LWLLDWLLDDWLLLLDLDLDDLWWLDLL • Sparta Rotterdam: LWWLWLLDWWLLDLWLWWWWWDDLLDLW
League goals
| Metric | NAC Breda | Sparta Rotterdam | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 11 | 29 | 17 | 18 | 35 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 21 | 29 | 50 | 20 | 27 | 47 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | NAC Breda | Sparta Rotterdam | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 61% | 86% | 79% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 57% | 32% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 21% | 11% | 36% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 7% | 4% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 7% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | NAC Breda | Sparta Rotterdam | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | NAC Breda | Sparta Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | NAC Breda | Sparta Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-1 | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 6-0 | 1-5 | 6-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | NAC Breda | Sparta Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 50% | 50% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 55% | 45% |
| Total | 49.5% | 50.5% |
Advice: No predictions available
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.55 @ Dafabet
Draw3.50 @ 188Bet
Away3.00 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.90 @ Betano
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.67 @ Betano
No2.28 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): NAC Breda = 1.43 (league 1.73), Sparta Rotterdam = 1.44 (league 1.35)
| Sparta Rotterdam | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| NAC Breda | 0 | 5.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 8.1% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.8% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 37.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1
