1. SNL — Slovenia
Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 14:00 • Stadion Stožice
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.91 (league 1.69) 1.49 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.9% 26.2% 50.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.5%
1 - 1
12.3%
0 - 2
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Maribor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Olimpija Ljubljana 0 9.0% 13.5% 10.1% 5.0% 1.9% 0.6%
1 8.2% 12.3% 9.2% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5%
2 3.7% 5.6% 4.2% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
3 1.1% 1.7% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOlimpija LjubljanaMaribor
Played55
Form87%73%
Attack73%73%
Defense67%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Olimpija Ljubljana Maribor
HATHAT
Played121123131023
Wins50%45%48%46%60%52%
Draws17%27%22%38%10%26%
Loses33%27%30%15%30%22%

Form: Olimpija Ljubljana: WWLWLDWLLWDDLLWDWLWWWDW • Maribor: LWDWDWLWWLWLWWDDWLDWWWD

League goals

Metric Olimpija Ljubljana Maribor
HATHAT
GF total171734311445
GF avg1.41.51.52.41.42.0
GA total181028171128
GA avg1.50.91.21.31.11.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOlimpija LjubljanaMaribor
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%65%87%65%
1.543%30%65%39%
2.517%17%30%17%
3.50%4%9%0%
4.50%4%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOlimpija LjubljanaMaribor
HATHAT
Clean sheets448538
Failed to score123033

Penalties

MetricOlimpija LjubljanaMaribor
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricOlimpija LjubljanaMaribor
Wins33
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-35-10-2
Biggest losses0-53-22-33-0
Goals For3353
Goals Against5333

Model comparison

MetricOlimpija LjubljanaMaribor
Form54%46%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h38%62%
Goals43%57%
Total45.5%54.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Maribor

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.96 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Unibet
Away2.55 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.00 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.30 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Olimpija Ljubljana = 0.91 (league 1.69), Maribor = 1.49 (league 1.41)

Maribor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Olimpija Ljubljana 0 9.0% 13.5% 10.1% 5.0% 1.9% 0.6%
1 8.2% 12.3% 9.2% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5%
2 3.7% 5.6% 4.2% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
3 1.1% 1.7% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.9% · Draw 26.2% · Away win 50.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1