Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 14:00 •
Stadion Stožice
Expected Goals
0.92 (league 1.67)
1.53 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 22.8% | 25.8% | 50.9% |
best score tips
0 - 1
13.2%
1 - 1
12.2%
0 - 2
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Maribor | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Olimpija Ljubljana | 0 | 8.7% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 8.0% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Olimpija Ljubljana | Maribor |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 73% |
| Attack | 73% | 73% |
| Defense | 67% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Olimpija Ljubljana | Maribor | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 11 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
| Wins | 50% | 45% | 48% | 46% | 60% | 52% |
| Draws | 17% | 27% | 22% | 38% | 10% | 26% |
| Loses | 33% | 27% | 30% | 15% | 30% | 22% |
Form: Olimpija Ljubljana: WWLWLDWLLWDDLLWDWLWWWDW • Maribor: LWDWDWLWWLWLWWDDWLDWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Olimpija Ljubljana | Maribor | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 17 | 34 | 31 | 14 | 45 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 18 | 10 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 28 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Olimpija Ljubljana | Maribor | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 87% | 65% | 87% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 30% | 65% | 39% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 17% | 30% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 4% | 9% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Olimpija Ljubljana | Maribor | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Olimpija Ljubljana | Maribor |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Olimpija Ljubljana | Maribor |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-3 | 5-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 3-2 | 2-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Olimpija Ljubljana | Maribor |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 54% | 46% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 38% | 62% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 45.5% | 54.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Maribor
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.96 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Unibet
Away2.55 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.00 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.30 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Olimpija Ljubljana
vs
Maribor
Expected goals
0.92
Olimpija Ljubljana xG
League Avg: 1.67
Total
2.45
1.53
Maribor xG
League Avg: 1.38
1x2 probabilities
Home
22.8%
Draw
25.8%
Away
50.9%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 1
13.2%
Tip
1 - 1
12.2%
Tip
0 - 2
10.1%
More chances
1.5+
81%
Chance
2.5+
57%
Chance
3.5+
40%
Chance
BTTS
72%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 5
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Olimpija Ljubljana = 0.92 (league 1.68), Maribor = 1.52 (league 1.38)
| Maribor | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Olimpija Ljubljana | 0 | 8.7% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 8.0% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.7% · Draw 25.9% · Away win 50.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1