Fri, Apr 17 2026 • 18:00 •
Stade de Rocourt
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.46)
1.04 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 44.8% | 26.8% | 28.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
1 - 0
12.1%
0 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
| AS Eupen | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Liège | 0 | 8.7% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.1% | 12.7% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.5% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Liège | AS Eupen |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Attack | 56% | 56% |
| Defense | 22% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Liège | AS Eupen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 16 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| Wins | 60% | 38% | 48% | 38% | 40% | 39% |
| Draws | 7% | 25% | 16% | 44% | 27% | 35% |
| Loses | 33% | 38% | 35% | 19% | 33% | 26% |
Form: Liège: LWWLWDLWWWWDLLLWLWWDWDWLWLDLLWW • AS Eupen: WDLWWDDLDWWLDLWWWDLLDLWDDWLWDWD
League goals
| Metric | Liège | AS Eupen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 26 | 16 | 42 | 23 | 20 | 43 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 17 | 21 | 38 | 16 | 18 | 34 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Liège | AS Eupen | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 68% | 68% | 84% | 61% |
| 1.5 | 42% | 39% | 39% | 35% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 13% | 13% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 3% | 3% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Liège | AS Eupen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Liège | AS Eupen |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Liège | AS Eupen |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-3 | 4-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Liège | AS Eupen |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 44.8% | 55.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or AS Eupen
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.49 @ Dafabet
Draw3.50 @ Dafabet
Away2.81 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.00 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.23 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Liège = 1.40 (league 1.46), AS Eupen = 1.04 (league 1.37)
| AS Eupen | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Liège | 0 | 8.7% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.1% | 12.7% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.5% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.8% · Draw 26.8% · Away win 28.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1
