Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 14:00 •
Estádio do Mar
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.32)
2.39 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 17.3% | 18.5% | 60.5% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.5%
0 - 2
8.0%
1 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
| União de Leiria | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leixoes | 0 | 2.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% | |
| 2 | 2.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Leixoes | União de Leiria |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 67% |
| Attack | 55% | 100% |
| Defense | 64% | 27% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
82%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-6
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Leixoes | União de Leiria | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 11 | 12 | 23 |
| Wins | 33% | 42% | 38% | 45% | 33% | 39% |
| Draws | 8% | 25% | 17% | 36% | 33% | 35% |
| Loses | 58% | 33% | 46% | 18% | 33% | 26% |
Form: Leixoes: WDWLLLLWLLWLLLWLDWDDWWLW • União de Leiria: WLDWWDDLWWDDLLWDLDWLDWW
League goals
| Metric | Leixoes | União de Leiria | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 13 | 27 | 19 | 15 | 34 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 25 | 15 | 40 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| GA avg | 2.1 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Leixoes | União de Leiria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 75% | 78% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 50% | 48% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 21% | 17% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 17% | 4% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Leixoes | União de Leiria | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Leixoes | União de Leiria |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Leixoes | União de Leiria |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | 3-1 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 3-1 | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Leixoes | União de Leiria |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 35% | 65% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 34% | 66% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 45.7% | 54.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or União de Leiria
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.80 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ 188Bet
Away2.88 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.26 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.85 @ Betfair
No1.97 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Leixoes
vs
União de Leiria
Expected goals
1.18
Leixoes xG
League Avg: 1.32
Total
3.57
2.39
União de Leiria xG
League Avg: 1.14
1x2 probabilities
Home
17.3%
Draw
18.5%
Away
60.5%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 2
9.5%
Tip
0 - 2
8.0%
Tip
1 - 1
7.9%
More chances
1.5+
82%
Chance
2.5+
58%
Chance
3.5+
41%
Chance
BTTS
70%
Chance
🟨 Cards
3 - 6
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Leixoes = 1.18 (league 1.32), União de Leiria = 2.39 (league 1.14)
| União de Leiria | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leixoes | 0 | 2.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% | |
| 2 | 2.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.3% · Draw 18.5% · Away win 60.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1