Wed, Feb 18 2026 • 17:30 •
Free State Toyota Stadium
Expected Goals
0.28 (league 1.14)
0.46 (league 0.88)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 16.5% | 54.2% | 29.4% |
best score tips
0 - 0
47.9%
0 - 1
21.8%
1 - 0
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Kaizer Chiefs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Siwelele | 0 | 47.9% | 21.8% | 5.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.4% | 6.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Siwelele | Kaizer Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 73% |
| Attack | 20% | 60% |
| Defense | 60% | 90% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
34%
FT probability
2.5+
24%
FT probability
3.5+
17%
FT probability
BTTS
41%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Siwelele | Kaizer Chiefs | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 15 |
| Wins | 38% | 11% | 24% | 44% | 67% | 53% |
| Draws | 38% | 33% | 35% | 44% | 33% | 40% |
| Loses | 25% | 56% | 41% | 11% | 0% | 7% |
Form: Siwelele: WLLLDLLLWDWWLDDDD • Kaizer Chiefs: WWWDWLDDDWWDDWW
League goals
| Metric | Siwelele | Kaizer Chiefs | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 15 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 4 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Siwelele | Kaizer Chiefs | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 35% | 59% | 73% | 27% |
| 1.5 | 12% | 24% | 13% | 7% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 0% | 7% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Siwelele | Kaizer Chiefs | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Siwelele | Kaizer Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Siwelele | Kaizer Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-2 | 4-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-0 | 1-3 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Siwelele | Kaizer Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 27% | 73% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 20% | 80% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 30.5% | 69.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Kaizer Chiefs and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.63 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.90 @ Betano
Away2.26 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.53.00 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.43 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.50 @ Bet365
No1.62 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Siwelele
vs
Kaizer Chiefs
Expected goals
0.28
Siwelele xG
League Avg: 1.14
Total
0.74
0.46
Kaizer Chiefs xG
League Avg: 0.88
1x2 probabilities
Home
16.5%
Draw
54.2%
Away
29.4%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
47.9%
Tip
0 - 1
21.8%
Tip
1 - 0
13.4%
More chances
1.5+
34%
Chance
2.5+
24%
Chance
3.5+
17%
Chance
BTTS
41%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Siwelele = 0.28 (league 1.14), Kaizer Chiefs = 0.46 (league 0.88)
| Kaizer Chiefs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Siwelele | 0 | 47.9% | 21.8% | 5.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.4% | 6.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.5% · Draw 54.2% · Away win 29.4%
vtt 2 , vtd1