Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 19:30 •
Estadio Municipal da Malata
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.38)
1.04 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 37.5% | 29.3% | 33.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.4%
1 - 0
12.8%
0 - 1
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Cacereño | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Racing Ferrol | 0 | 11.3% | 11.8% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.8% | 13.4% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.3% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Racing Ferrol | Cacereño |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 40% |
| Attack | 50% | 75% |
| Defense | 13% | 25% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Racing Ferrol | Cacereño | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 46% | 38% | 42% | 23% | 23% | 23% |
| Draws | 31% | 0% | 15% | 31% | 46% | 38% |
| Loses | 23% | 62% | 42% | 46% | 31% | 38% |
Form: Racing Ferrol: WWWLDDWWLLWWLDWWLLLLWLDWLL • Cacereño: DDLWDLDWDLLLLWLLDLDWWDDWLD
League goals
| Metric | Racing Ferrol | Cacereño | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 13 | 30 | 11 | 14 | 25 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 13 | 18 | 31 | 18 | 16 | 34 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Racing Ferrol | Cacereño | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 73% | 58% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 31% | 38% | 31% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 8% | 8% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Racing Ferrol | Cacereño | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Racing Ferrol | Cacereño |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Racing Ferrol | Cacereño |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-4 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Racing Ferrol | Cacereño |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 46% | 54% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 44.5% | 55.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Racing Ferrol or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.85 @ Betfair
Draw3.37 @ Pinnacle
Away4.49 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.62 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.19 @ 188Bet
No1.70 @ 10Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Racing Ferrol
vs
Cacereño
Expected goals
1.13
Racing Ferrol xG
League Avg: 1.38
Total
2.18
1.04
Cacereño xG
League Avg: 1.05
1x2 probabilities
Home
37.5%
Draw
29.3%
Away
33.0%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
13.4%
Tip
1 - 0
12.8%
Tip
0 - 1
11.8%
More chances
1.5+
66%
Chance
2.5+
47%
Chance
3.5+
33%
Chance
BTTS
69%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Racing Ferrol = 1.13 (league 1.38), Cacereño = 1.04 (league 1.05)
| Cacereño | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Racing Ferrol | 0 | 11.3% | 11.8% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.8% | 13.4% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.3% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.5% · Draw 29.3% · Away win 33.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1