Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 14:00 •
Stadio Miramare
Expected Goals
0.67 (league 1.43)
0.62 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 31.5% | 40.2% | 28.3% |
best score tips
0 - 0
27.5%
1 - 0
18.5%
0 - 1
17.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Francavilla | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Manfredonia | 0 | 27.5% | 17.0% | 5.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.5% | 11.4% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Manfredonia | Francavilla |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 27% |
| Attack | 56% | 33% |
| Defense | 78% | 11% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
54%
FT probability
2.5+
38%
FT probability
3.5+
27%
FT probability
BTTS
50%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Manfredonia | Francavilla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| Wins | 44% | 25% | 35% | 22% | 25% | 24% |
| Draws | 33% | 25% | 29% | 33% | 38% | 35% |
| Loses | 22% | 50% | 35% | 44% | 38% | 41% |
Form: Manfredonia: LLDWLLWWDLDDWLDWW • Francavilla: WDWDLLLDDLDWDLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Manfredonia | Francavilla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 6 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 9 | 8 | 17 | 14 | 6 | 20 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Manfredonia | Francavilla | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 59% | 53% | 53% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 24% | 24% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 12% | 6% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 6% | 0% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Manfredonia | Francavilla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Manfredonia | Francavilla |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Manfredonia | Francavilla |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 1-2 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | 3-2 | 0-4 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Manfredonia | Francavilla |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 80% | 20% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 58.2% | 42.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Manfredonia or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Manfredonia = 0.67 (league 1.43), Francavilla = 0.62 (league 0.97)
| Francavilla | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Manfredonia | 0 | 27.5% | 17.0% | 5.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.5% | 11.4% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.5% · Draw 40.2% · Away win 28.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1
