Sat, Apr 18 2026 • 11:30 •
Thunderdome Stadium
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.58)
0.93 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 40.4% | 30.0% | 29.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.4%
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 0
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Nakhon Ratchasima FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Muangthong United | 0 | 12.7% | 11.7% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.4% | 13.4% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.2% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Muangthong United | Nakhon Ratchasima FC |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Attack | 63% | 38% |
| Defense | 38% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Muangthong United | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| Wins | 31% | 8% | 19% | 21% | 17% | 19% |
| Draws | 23% | 23% | 23% | 29% | 17% | 23% |
| Loses | 46% | 69% | 58% | 50% | 67% | 58% |
Form: Muangthong United: WDWLLDDDLLLLWLLLLLLDLDLWLW • Nakhon Ratchasima FC: DWLDDDLLLLLLLLLLWLLWLLDWDW
League goals
| Metric | Muangthong United | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 12 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 21 | 26 | 47 | 15 | 24 | 39 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Muangthong United | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 65% | 77% | 46% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 58% | 15% | 46% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 35% | 4% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 8% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Muangthong United | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
Penalties
| Metric | Muangthong United | Nakhon Ratchasima FC |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Muangthong United | Nakhon Ratchasima FC |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 6 | 10 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 7-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Muangthong United | Nakhon Ratchasima FC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 56.3% | 43.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Muangthong United or draw and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.65 @ Betano
Draw4.11 @ Pinnacle
Away5.00 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.73 @ William Hill
No2.05 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.72 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.06 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Muangthong United = 1.14 (league 1.58), Nakhon Ratchasima FC = 0.93 (league 1.21)
| Nakhon Ratchasima FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Muangthong United | 0 | 12.7% | 11.7% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.4% | 13.4% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.2% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.4% · Draw 30.0% · Away win 29.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1
