Tue, Mar 10 2026 • 22:45 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.01 (league 0.99) 1.05 (league 0.76)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.8% 30.2% 35.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.5%
0 - 1
13.3%
1 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Velez Sarsfield
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tigre 0 12.7% 13.3% 7.0% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.8% 13.5% 7.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 6.5% 6.9% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.2% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTigreVelez Sarsfield
Played55
Form53%73%
Attack67%42%
Defense58%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tigre Velez Sarsfield
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins75%25%50%75%50%63%
Draws25%50%38%25%50%38%
Loses0%25%13%0%0%0%

Form: Tigre: WDWWWDLD • Velez Sarsfield: WWDWDWDW

League goals

Metric Tigre Velez Sarsfield
HATHAT
GF total8614549
GF avg2.01.51.81.31.01.1
GA total347224
GA avg0.81.00.90.50.50.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTigreVelez Sarsfield
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%63%88%50%
1.550%25%25%0%
2.525%0%0%0%
3.513%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTigreVelez Sarsfield
HATHAT
Clean sheets213224
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricTigreVelez Sarsfield
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricTigreVelez Sarsfield
Wins32
Draws11
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-42-10-1
Biggest losses—2-1——
Goals For3421
Goals Against2211

Model comparison

MetricTigreVelez Sarsfield
Form42%58%
Att62%38%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h38%62%
Goals55%45%
Total45.5%54.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Velez Sarsfield and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.65 @ Betano
Draw2.96 @ 188Bet
Away3.45 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.09 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.44 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.43 @ 188Bet
No1.65 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tigre = 1.01 (league 0.99), Velez Sarsfield = 1.05 (league 0.76)

Velez Sarsfield
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tigre 0 12.7% 13.3% 7.0% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.8% 13.5% 7.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 6.5% 6.9% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.2% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.8% · Draw 30.2% · Away win 35.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1