Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 18:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
6.06 (league 1.64)
0.63 (league 1.66)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 41.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
best score tips
5 - 0
8.5%
4 - 0
7.0%
5 - 1
5.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Mtarfa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Zurrieq | 0 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.0% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 8.5% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Zurrieq | Mtarfa |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 20% |
| Attack | 43% | 24% |
| Defense | 67% | 14% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 18 | 3.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
8.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
68%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Zurrieq | Mtarfa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 20% | 60% | 40% | 20% | 0% | 10% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 80% | 40% | 60% | 80% | 100% | 90% |
Form: Zurrieq: WLLLWLWLWL • Mtarfa: LLLLLLLWLL
League goals
| Metric | Zurrieq | Mtarfa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 9 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 13 | 5 | 18 | 10 | 31 | 41 |
| GA avg | 2.6 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 6.2 | 4.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Zurrieq | Mtarfa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 80% | 30% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 40% | 20% | 90% |
| 2.5 | 30% | 30% | 10% | 60% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 20% | 10% | 50% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 10% | 0% | 30% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Zurrieq | Mtarfa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Zurrieq | Mtarfa |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Zurrieq | Mtarfa |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 7 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-4 | 4-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 2-1 | 0-3 | 8-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Zurrieq | Mtarfa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 72% | 28% |
| Poisson Distribution | 90% | 10% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 73.3% | 26.8% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Zurrieq and +1.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.14 @ Dafabet
Draw10.00 @ Betfair
Away20.00 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.10 @ Betfair
No1.67 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.54.00 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Zurrieq
vs
Mtarfa
Expected goals
6.06
Zurrieq xG
League Avg: 1.64
Total
6.69
0.63
Mtarfa xG
League Avg: 1.66
1x2 probabilities
Home
41.8%
Draw
1.3%
Away
0.4%
Best score tips
Tip
5 - 0
8.5%
Tip
4 - 0
7.0%
Tip
5 - 1
5.3%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
85%
Chance
3.5+
68%
Chance
BTTS
76%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Zurrieq = 6.06 (league 1.64), Mtarfa = 0.63 (league 1.66)
| Mtarfa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Zurrieq | 0 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.0% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 8.5% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.8% · Draw 1.3% · Away win 0.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1