Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 21:30 •
Estadio Osvaldo Dominguez Dibb
Expected Goals
3.54 (league 0.76)
0.29 (league 0.82)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 79.0% | 5.0% | 1.2% |
best score tips
3 - 0
16.0%
4 - 0
14.2%
2 - 0
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Club Sp. San Lorenzo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Olimpia | 0 | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.5% | 4.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 16.0% | 4.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 14.2% | 4.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 10.0% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Olimpia | Club Sp. San Lorenzo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 7% |
| Attack | 38% | 15% |
| Defense | 92% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 16 | 3.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Olimpia | Club Sp. San Lorenzo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 75% | 75% | 75% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 0% | 13% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 75% | 100% | 88% |
Form: Olimpia: WDWWDWWW • Club Sp. San Lorenzo: LLLLLDLL
League goals
| Metric | Olimpia | Club Sp. San Lorenzo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 7 | 22 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 3.8 | 1.8 | 2.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Olimpia | Club Sp. San Lorenzo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 50% | 38% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 13% | 13% | 63% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Olimpia | Club Sp. San Lorenzo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Olimpia | Club Sp. San Lorenzo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Olimpia | Club Sp. San Lorenzo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 1-2 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-7 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Olimpia | Club Sp. San Lorenzo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 93% | 7% |
| Att | 71% | 29% |
| Def | 94% | 6% |
| Poisson Distribution | 93% | 7% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 68% | 32% |
| Total | 84.0% | 16.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Olimpia or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.42 @ Unibet
Draw4.80 @ Pinnacle
Away9.03 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.03 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.12 @ Pinnacle
No1.80 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Olimpia
vs
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Expected goals
3.54
Olimpia xG
League Avg: 0.76
Total
3.84
0.29
Club Sp. San Lorenzo xG
League Avg: 0.82
1x2 probabilities
Home
79.0%
Draw
5.0%
Away
1.2%
Best score tips
Tip
3 - 0
16.0%
Tip
4 - 0
14.2%
Tip
2 - 0
13.5%
More chances
1.5+
69%
Chance
2.5+
49%
Chance
3.5+
35%
Chance
BTTS
62%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Olimpia = 3.54 (league 0.76), Club Sp. San Lorenzo = 0.29 (league 0.82)
| Club Sp. San Lorenzo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Olimpia | 0 | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.5% | 4.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 16.0% | 4.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 14.2% | 4.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 10.0% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.0% · Draw 5.0% · Away win 1.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1