Mon, Mar 9 2026 • 21:30 • Estadio Martin Torres
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.92 (league 0.76) 0.71 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.5% 34.6% 26.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
19.5%
1 - 0
18.0%
0 - 1
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
Nacional Asuncion
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sportivo Trinidense 0 19.5% 13.9% 5.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.0% 12.8% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.3% 5.9% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSportivo TrinidenseNacional Asuncion
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack31%54%
Defense77%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sportivo Trinidense Nacional Asuncion
HATHAT
Played358538
Wins33%20%25%40%67%50%
Draws67%40%50%40%33%38%
Loses0%40%25%20%0%13%

Form: Sportivo Trinidense: DDLWWDDL • Nacional Asuncion: WWWLWDDD

League goals

Metric Sportivo Trinidense Nacional Asuncion
HATHAT
GF total2579615
GF avg0.71.00.91.82.01.9
GA total167538
GA avg0.31.20.91.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSportivo TrinidenseNacional Asuncion
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%63%100%75%
1.513%13%50%25%
2.50%13%13%0%
3.50%0%13%0%
4.50%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSportivo TrinidenseNacional Asuncion
HATHAT
Clean sheets213112
Failed to score112000

Penalties

MetricSportivo TrinidenseNacional Asuncion
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricSportivo TrinidenseNacional Asuncion
Wins23
Draws20
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-15-10-2
Biggest losses—3-21-2—
Goals For1252
Goals Against1322

Model comparison

MetricSportivo TrinidenseNacional Asuncion
Form57%43%
Att36%64%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h38%62%
Goals43%57%
Total48.5%51.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Nacional Asuncion and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.86 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Betfair
Away2.25 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.61 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.11 @ Pinnacle
No1.83 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sportivo Trinidense = 0.92 (league 0.76), Nacional Asuncion = 0.71 (league 0.84)

Nacional Asuncion
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sportivo Trinidense 0 19.5% 13.9% 5.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.0% 12.8% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.3% 5.9% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.5% · Draw 34.6% · Away win 26.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1