Mon, Mar 9 2026 • 21:30 •
Estadio Martin Torres
Expected Goals
0.92 (league 0.76)
0.73 (league 0.82)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.0% | 34.4% | 27.5% |
best score tips
0 - 0
19.2%
1 - 0
17.6%
0 - 1
14.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Nacional Asuncion | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sportivo Trinidense | 0 | 19.2% | 14.0% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.6% | 12.9% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.1% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sportivo Trinidense | Nacional Asuncion |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 40% |
| Attack | 31% | 54% |
| Defense | 77% | 54% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
62%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sportivo Trinidense | Nacional Asuncion | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Wins | 33% | 20% | 25% | 40% | 67% | 50% |
| Draws | 67% | 40% | 50% | 40% | 33% | 38% |
| Loses | 0% | 40% | 25% | 20% | 0% | 13% |
Form: Sportivo Trinidense: DDLWWDDL • Nacional Asuncion: WWWLWDDD
League goals
| Metric | Sportivo Trinidense | Nacional Asuncion | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 15 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 1 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sportivo Trinidense | Nacional Asuncion | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 63% | 100% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 13% | 13% | 50% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 13% | 13% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sportivo Trinidense | Nacional Asuncion | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sportivo Trinidense | Nacional Asuncion |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sportivo Trinidense | Nacional Asuncion |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-1 | 5-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-2 | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sportivo Trinidense | Nacional Asuncion |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 50% | 50% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 48.5% | 51.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Nacional Asuncion and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.86 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Betfair
Away2.25 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.61 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.11 @ Pinnacle
No1.83 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Sportivo Trinidense
vs
Nacional Asuncion
Expected goals
0.92
Sportivo Trinidense xG
League Avg: 0.76
Total
1.65
0.73
Nacional Asuncion xG
League Avg: 0.82
1x2 probabilities
Home
38.0%
Draw
34.4%
Away
27.5%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
19.2%
Tip
1 - 0
17.6%
Tip
0 - 1
14.0%
More chances
1.5+
62%
Chance
2.5+
44%
Chance
3.5+
31%
Chance
BTTS
67%
Chance
🟨 Cards
3 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Sportivo Trinidense = 0.92 (league 0.76), Nacional Asuncion = 0.73 (league 0.82)
| Nacional Asuncion | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sportivo Trinidense | 0 | 19.2% | 14.0% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.6% | 12.9% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.1% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.0% · Draw 34.4% · Away win 27.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1