Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 19:00 • Estadio Janio Moraes
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.15 (league 1.23) 2.39 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.8% 19.2% 41.3%
best score tips
2 - 2
7.0%
1 - 2
6.5%
2 - 1
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nova Iguaçu 0 1.1% 2.5% 3.0% 2.4% 1.5% 0.7%
1 2.3% 5.5% 6.5% 5.2% 3.1% 1.5%
2 2.5% 5.9% 7.0% 5.6% 3.4% 1.6%
3 1.8% 4.2% 5.1% 4.0% 2.4% 1.2%
4 0.9% 2.3% 2.7% 2.2% 1.3% 0.6%
5 0.4% 1.0% 1.2% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNova IguaçuSampaio Corrêa RJ
Played55
Form27%67%
Attack25%50%
Defense70%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nova Iguaçu Sampaio Corrêa RJ
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins0%17%9%50%40%45%
Draws40%67%55%33%0%18%
Loses60%17%36%17%60%36%

Form: Nova Iguaçu: WDLDLLDLDDD • Sampaio Corrêa RJ: LWLWDLWWDWL

League goals

Metric Nova Iguaçu Sampaio Corrêa RJ
HATHAT
GF total671310717
GF avg1.21.21.21.71.41.5
GA total961591120
GA avg1.81.01.41.52.21.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNova IguaçuSampaio Corrêa RJ
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%91%91%82%
1.536%36%36%45%
2.59%9%18%18%
3.50%0%9%9%
4.50%0%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNova IguaçuSampaio Corrêa RJ
HATHAT
Clean sheets011022
Failed to score123011

Penalties

MetricNova IguaçuSampaio Corrêa RJ
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricNova IguaçuSampaio Corrêa RJ
Wins12
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-33-20-4
Biggest losses2-31-01-37-1
Goals For2334
Goals Against3237

Model comparison

MetricNova IguaçuSampaio Corrêa RJ
Form29%71%
Att33%67%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h93%7%
Goals73%27%
Total54.7%45.3%

Advice: Double chance : Nova Iguaçu or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ Unibet
Draw3.80 @ Bet365
Away6.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.72 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.75 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nova Iguaçu = 2.15 (league 1.23), Sampaio Corrêa RJ = 2.39 (league 1.05)

Sampaio Corrêa RJ
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nova Iguaçu 0 1.1% 2.5% 3.0% 2.4% 1.5% 0.7%
1 2.3% 5.5% 6.5% 5.2% 3.1% 1.5%
2 2.5% 5.9% 7.0% 5.6% 3.4% 1.6%
3 1.8% 4.2% 5.1% 4.0% 2.4% 1.2%
4 0.9% 2.3% 2.7% 2.2% 1.3% 0.6%
5 0.4% 1.0% 1.2% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.8% · Draw 19.2% · Away win 41.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1