Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 19:00 •
Estadio Janio Moraes
Expected Goals
2.15 (league 1.23)
2.39 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 33.8% | 19.2% | 41.3% |
best score tips
2 - 2
7.0%
1 - 2
6.5%
2 - 1
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Sampaio Corrêa RJ | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nova Iguaçu | 0 | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 2.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nova Iguaçu | Sampaio Corrêa RJ |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 67% |
| Attack | 25% | 50% |
| Defense | 70% | 70% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-6
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nova Iguaçu | Sampaio Corrêa RJ | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 0% | 17% | 9% | 50% | 40% | 45% |
| Draws | 40% | 67% | 55% | 33% | 0% | 18% |
| Loses | 60% | 17% | 36% | 17% | 60% | 36% |
Form: Nova Iguaçu: WDLDLLDLDDD • Sampaio Corrêa RJ: LWLWDLWWDWL
League goals
| Metric | Nova Iguaçu | Sampaio Corrêa RJ | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 17 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 9 | 6 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 20 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nova Iguaçu | Sampaio Corrêa RJ | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 91% | 91% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 36% | 36% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 9% | 18% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 9% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nova Iguaçu | Sampaio Corrêa RJ | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nova Iguaçu | Sampaio Corrêa RJ |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nova Iguaçu | Sampaio Corrêa RJ |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-3 | 3-2 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 1-0 | 1-3 | 7-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nova Iguaçu | Sampaio Corrêa RJ |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 50% | 50% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 73% | 27% |
| Total | 54.7% | 45.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Nova Iguaçu or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.70 @ Unibet
Draw3.80 @ Bet365
Away6.00 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.72 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.75 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Nova Iguaçu
vs
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Expected goals
2.15
Nova Iguaçu xG
League Avg: 1.23
Total
4.54
2.39
Sampaio Corrêa RJ xG
League Avg: 1.05
1x2 probabilities
Home
33.8%
Draw
19.2%
Away
41.3%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 2
7.0%
Tip
1 - 2
6.5%
Tip
2 - 1
5.9%
More chances
1.5+
89%
Chance
2.5+
63%
Chance
3.5+
45%
Chance
BTTS
78%
Chance
🟨 Cards
3 - 6
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Nova Iguaçu = 2.15 (league 1.23), Sampaio Corrêa RJ = 2.39 (league 1.05)
| Sampaio Corrêa RJ | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nova Iguaçu | 0 | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 2.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.8% · Draw 19.2% · Away win 41.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1