Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 20:00 •
Estadio Etelvino Mendonca
Expected Goals
0.51 (league 1.51)
0.96 (league 0.73)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 19.0% | 35.7% | 45.2% |
best score tips
0 - 0
23.0%
0 - 1
22.1%
1 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
| América SE | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AO Itabaiana | 0 | 23.0% | 22.1% | 10.6% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.7% | 11.3% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | AO Itabaiana | América SE |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Attack | 54% | 38% |
| Defense | 69% | 54% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
53%
FT probability
2.5+
37%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
51%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | AO Itabaiana | América SE | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 5 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 57% | 60% | 58% | 33% | 17% | 25% |
| Draws | 14% | 20% | 17% | 50% | 67% | 58% |
| Loses | 29% | 20% | 25% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
Form: AO Itabaiana: WWLWDWLWDWWL • América SE: DDWDDDWLDWDL
League goals
| Metric | AO Itabaiana | América SE | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 7 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 5 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | AO Itabaiana | América SE | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 50% | 58% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 42% | 8% | 42% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 0% | 8% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | AO Itabaiana | América SE | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | AO Itabaiana | América SE |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | AO Itabaiana | América SE |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 1-0 | 0-3 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | AO Itabaiana | América SE |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 49% | 51% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 80% | 20% |
| Total | 66.5% | 33.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : AO Itabaiana or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): AO Itabaiana = 0.51 (league 1.51), América SE = 0.96 (league 0.73)
| América SE | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AO Itabaiana | 0 | 23.0% | 22.1% | 10.6% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.7% | 11.3% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.0% · Draw 35.7% · Away win 45.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1