Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 20:00 • Estadio Etelvino Mendonca
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.52 (league 1.49) 0.99 (league 0.70)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.7% 35.0% 46.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
22.1%
0 - 1
22.0%
1 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
América SE
0 1 2 3 4 5
AO Itabaiana 0 22.1% 22.0% 10.9% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.4% 11.3% 5.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 2.9% 2.9% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAO ItabaianaAmérica SE
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack58%42%
Defense67%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

51%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1-1
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AO Itabaiana América SE
HATHAT
Played75126612
Wins57%60%58%33%17%25%
Draws14%20%17%50%67%58%
Loses29%20%25%17%17%17%

Form: AO Itabaiana: WWLWDWLWDWWL • América SE: DDWDDDWLDWDL

League goals

Metric AO Itabaiana América SE
HATHAT
GF total87157613
GF avg1.11.41.31.21.01.1
GA total5277411
GA avg0.70.40.61.20.70.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAO ItabaianaAmérica SE
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%50%58%50%
1.542%8%42%33%
2.517%0%8%8%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAO ItabaianaAmérica SE
HATHAT
Clean sheets336246
Failed to score224235

Penalties

MetricAO ItabaianaAmérica SE
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAO ItabaianaAmérica SE
Wins21
Draws13
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-32-00-3
Biggest losses0-21-00-32-1
Goals For3323
Goals Against2132

Model comparison

MetricAO ItabaianaAmérica SE
Form67%33%
Att58%42%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h85%15%
Goals80%20%
Total66.5%33.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : AO Itabaiana or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.55 @ William Hill
Draw3.45 @ Superbet
Away7.30 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.55 @ 10Bet
No1.47 @ Superbet
📊

League standings

Loading standings…
footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

AO Itabaiana
vs
América SE
Sergipano • Brazil • Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 20:00 • Estadio Etelvino Mendonca
Expected goals
0.52
AO Itabaiana xG League Avg: 1.49
Total
1.51
0.99
América SE xG League Avg: 0.70
1x2 probabilities
Home
18.7%
Draw
35.0%
Away
46.2%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
22.1%
Tip
0 - 1
22.0%
Tip
1 - 0
11.4%
More chances
1.5+
53%
Chance
2.5+
37%
Chance
3.5+
26%
Chance
BTTS
51%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 1
Exp.
#AoItabaiana #AméricaSe #Sergipano #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): AO Itabaiana = 0.52 (league 1.49), América SE = 0.99 (league 0.70)

América SE
0 1 2 3 4 5
AO Itabaiana 0 22.1% 22.0% 10.9% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.4% 11.3% 5.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 2.9% 2.9% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.7% · Draw 35.0% · Away win 46.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1