Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 20:00 •
Estadio Etelvino Mendonca
Expected Goals
0.52 (league 1.49)
0.99 (league 0.70)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 18.7% | 35.0% | 46.2% |
best score tips
0 - 0
22.1%
0 - 1
22.0%
1 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
| América SE | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AO Itabaiana | 0 | 22.1% | 22.0% | 10.9% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.4% | 11.3% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | AO Itabaiana | América SE |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Attack | 58% | 42% |
| Defense | 67% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
53%
FT probability
2.5+
37%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
51%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-1
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | AO Itabaiana | América SE | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 5 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 57% | 60% | 58% | 33% | 17% | 25% |
| Draws | 14% | 20% | 17% | 50% | 67% | 58% |
| Loses | 29% | 20% | 25% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
Form: AO Itabaiana: WWLWDWLWDWWL • América SE: DDWDDDWLDWDL
League goals
| Metric | AO Itabaiana | América SE | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 7 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 5 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | AO Itabaiana | América SE | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 50% | 58% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 42% | 8% | 42% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 0% | 8% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | AO Itabaiana | América SE | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | AO Itabaiana | América SE |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | AO Itabaiana | América SE |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 1-0 | 0-3 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | AO Itabaiana | América SE |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 49% | 51% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 80% | 20% |
| Total | 66.5% | 33.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : AO Itabaiana or draw and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.55 @ William Hill
Draw3.45 @ Superbet
Away7.30 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.55 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.55 @ 10Bet
No1.47 @ Superbet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
AO Itabaiana
vs
América SE
Expected goals
0.52
AO Itabaiana xG
League Avg: 1.49
Total
1.51
0.99
América SE xG
League Avg: 0.70
1x2 probabilities
Home
18.7%
Draw
35.0%
Away
46.2%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
22.1%
Tip
0 - 1
22.0%
Tip
1 - 0
11.4%
More chances
1.5+
53%
Chance
2.5+
37%
Chance
3.5+
26%
Chance
BTTS
51%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 1
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): AO Itabaiana = 0.52 (league 1.49), América SE = 0.99 (league 0.70)
| América SE | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AO Itabaiana | 0 | 22.1% | 22.0% | 10.9% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.4% | 11.3% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.7% · Draw 35.0% · Away win 46.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1