Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 21:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.96 (league 0.92) 1.56 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.7% 21.8% 30.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.1%
2 - 1
8.9%
1 - 2
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
Atletico-MG
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cruzeiro 0 3.0% 4.6% 3.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
1 5.8% 9.1% 7.1% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.7% 8.9% 6.9% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4%
3 3.7% 5.8% 4.5% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.8% 2.8% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCruzeiroAtletico-MG
Played55
Form100%73%
Attack80%100%
Defense80%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.613 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cruzeiro Atletico-MG
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins60%80%70%20%60%40%
Draws0%0%0%80%40%60%
Loses40%20%30%0%0%0%

Form: Cruzeiro: LWWLLWWWWW • Atletico-MG: DDDDWWDWDW

League goals

Metric Cruzeiro Atletico-MG
HATHAT
GF total981751318
GF avg1.81.61.71.02.61.8
GA total358459
GA avg0.61.00.80.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCruzeiroAtletico-MG
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%60%90%80%
1.550%20%30%10%
2.510%0%20%0%
3.510%0%10%0%
4.510%0%10%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCruzeiroAtletico-MG
HATHAT
Clean sheets314112
Failed to score101101

Penalties

MetricCruzeiroAtletico-MG
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricCruzeiroAtletico-MG
Wins22
Draws04
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-22-12-7
Biggest losses1-22-1
Goals For5227
Goals Against2212

Model comparison

MetricCruzeiroAtletico-MG
Form58%42%
Att38%62%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h62%38%
Goals67%33%
Total58.7%41.3%

Advice: Double chance : Cruzeiro or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.23 @ Unibet
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away3.30 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.33 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.75 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.28 @ 188Bet
No1.93 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cruzeiro = 1.96 (league 0.92), Atletico-MG = 1.56 (league 1.00)

Atletico-MG
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cruzeiro 0 3.0% 4.6% 3.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
1 5.8% 9.1% 7.1% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.7% 8.9% 6.9% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4%
3 3.7% 5.8% 4.5% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.8% 2.8% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.7% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 30.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1