NM Cupen — Norway
Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 17:00 • Fredrikstad Stadion
Match Finished

Fredrikstad

2 - 1

Sarpsborg 08 FF

Expected Goals
8.34 (league 1.20) 1.97 (league 3.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.7% 1.4% 0.8%
best score tips
5 - 1
2.2%
5 - 2
2.2%
5 - 3
1.4%
Score & goals probability table
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fredrikstad 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.7% 1.3% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
5 1.1% 2.2% 2.2% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFredrikstadSarpsborg 08 FF
Played11
Form100%100%
Attack11%32%
Defense95%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 26 | 6
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 15 | 5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

8.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

70%
FT probability

BTTS

100%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-3
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fredrikstad Sarpsborg 08 FF
HATHAT
Played011011
Wins—100%100%—100%100%
Draws—0%0%—0%0%
Loses—0%0%—0%0%

Form: Fredrikstad: W • Sarpsborg 08 FF: W

League goals

Metric Fredrikstad Sarpsborg 08 FF
HATHAT
GF total022066
GF avg0.02.02.00.06.06.0
GA total011055
GA avg0.01.01.00.05.05.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFredrikstadSarpsborg 08 FF
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.5100%0%100%100%
2.50%0%100%100%
3.50%0%100%100%
4.50%0%100%100%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFredrikstadSarpsborg 08 FF
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricFredrikstadSarpsborg 08 FF
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricFredrikstadSarpsborg 08 FF
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-2—5-6
Biggest losses————
Goals For0206
Goals Against0105

Model comparison

MetricFredrikstadSarpsborg 08 FF
Form50%50%
Att25%75%
Def83%17%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h62%38%
Goals60%40%
Total56.0%44.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Fredrikstad or draw and +3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.27 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away3.04 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.27 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.50 @ 188Bet
📊

League standings

Loading standings…
League page • Country page • Venue page • Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08 FF
footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Fredrikstad
vs
Sarpsborg 08 FF
NM Cupen • Norway • Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 17:00 • Fredrikstad Stadion
Expected goals
8.34
Fredrikstad xG League Avg: 1.20
Total
10.31
1.97
Sarpsborg 08 FF xG League Avg: 3.05
1x2 probabilities
Home
13.7%
Draw
1.4%
Away
0.8%
Best score tips
Tip
5 - 1
2.2%
Tip
5 - 2
2.2%
Tip
5 - 3
1.4%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
85%
Chance
3.5+
70%
Chance
BTTS
100%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
#Fredrikstad #Sarpsborg08Ff #NmCupen #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Fredrikstad = 8.34 (league 1.20), Sarpsborg 08 FF = 1.97 (league 3.05)

Sarpsborg 08 FF
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fredrikstad 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.7% 1.3% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
5 1.1% 2.2% 2.2% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.7% · Draw 1.4% · Away win 0.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1