EFL Trophy — England
Tue, Feb 24 2026 • 19:00 • Kenilworth Road
Match Finished
2 - 1
Expected Goals
1.89 (league 2.06) 1.06 (league 1.60)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.5% 22.3% 20.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.5%
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Plymouth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luton 0 5.2% 5.6% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 9.9% 10.5% 5.6% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.4% 9.9% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.9% 6.2% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.8% 2.9% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.1% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLutonPlymouth
Played55
Form60%80%
Attack68%68%
Defense63%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.613 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

74%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Luton Plymouth
HATHAT
Played415235
Wins75%0%60%100%67%80%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses25%100%40%0%33%20%

Form: Luton: WLWWL • Plymouth: WWLWW

League goals

Metric Luton Plymouth
HATHAT
GF total121138513
GF avg3.01.02.64.01.72.6
GA total437246
GA avg1.03.01.41.01.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLutonPlymouth
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%80%80%60%
1.560%40%60%40%
2.560%20%40%20%
3.540%0%40%0%
4.50%0%20%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLutonPlymouth
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricLutonPlymouth
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricLutonPlymouth
Wins22
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-0—6-23-4
Biggest losses1-23-1—1-0
Goals For4164
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricLutonPlymouth
Form43%57%
Att50%50%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h15%85%
Goals33%67%
Total41.8%58.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Plymouth

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.38 @ 10Bet
Draw3.63 @ Pinnacle
Away2.99 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.25 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.43 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Luton = 1.89 (league 2.06), Plymouth = 1.06 (league 1.60)

Plymouth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luton 0 5.2% 5.6% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 9.9% 10.5% 5.6% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.4% 9.9% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.9% 6.2% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.8% 2.9% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.1% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.5% · Draw 22.3% · Away win 20.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1