Thu, Apr 2 2026 • 17:00 •
Hammarby IP
Expected Goals
0.49 (league 1.67)
2.64 (league 1.52)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.7% | 12.1% | 78.0% |
best score tips
0 - 2
15.3%
0 - 3
13.5%
0 - 1
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Sparta Praha W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hammarby | 0 | 4.4% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 8.9% | 4.7% |
| 1 | 2.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.3% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Hammarby | Sparta Praha W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 47% |
| Attack | 58% | 47% |
| Defense | 74% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
72%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Hammarby | Sparta Praha W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 67% | 75% | 71% | 0% | 100% | 43% |
| Draws | 33% | 25% | 29% | 50% | 0% | 29% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 29% |
Form: Hammarby: WDWWWDW • Sparta Praha W: DWLWDWL
League goals
| Metric | Hammarby | Sparta Praha W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 8 | 16 | 2 | 12 | 14 |
| GF avg | 2.7 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 4.0 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Hammarby | Sparta Praha W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 86% | 57% | 43% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 14% | 57% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 57% | 0% | 43% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 0% | 29% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Hammarby | Sparta Praha W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Hammarby | Sparta Praha W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Hammarby | Sparta Praha W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-3 | — | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-3 | — |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Hammarby | Sparta Praha W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 65% | 35% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 15% | 85% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 50.6% | 49.4% |
Advice: Double chance : Hammarby or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.42 @ Bet365
Draw4.95 @ 188Bet
Away7.50 @ William Hill
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.94 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.57 @ Betfair
Under 2.52.41 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Hammarby = 0.49 (league 1.67), Sparta Praha W = 2.64 (league 1.52)
| Sparta Praha W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hammarby | 0 | 4.4% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 8.9% | 4.7% |
| 1 | 2.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.3% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.7% · Draw 12.1% · Away win 78.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1
